NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	3.6 [1055]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +10.0%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.3 [973]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -5.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.06	12	65%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	15	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	26	55%	0.10	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	19	56%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	25.2	15.8	25.2	2.5	29.6	123.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +8.9%

IND +7.4%

IND +19.0%

IND +14.1%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	100.0	110.2	102.3
season	15.1	15.3		101.0	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		100.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	16.0	18.2	15.8	16.0
IND	15.8	16.8	16.9	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	8	7	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-15	20	17.6	15.8	1.83	20.4	16.6	3.79
Milt Palacio	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-12	14	20.4	14.9	5.53	19.5	16.3	3.21
John Wallace	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-18	26	14.4	16.7	-2.33	16.5	17.2	-0.66
Alton Ford	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.64	13.2	17.7	-4.51
Anfernee Hardaway	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	19.5	15.0	4.49	18.4	16.6	1.82
Dan Majerle	57	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-14	18	16.6	14.7	1.93	17.5	15.9	1.53
Joe Johnson	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-8	6	15.0	19.8	-4.72	16.9	17.2	-0.36
Bo Outlaw	43	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	5	-20	16.7	15.3	1.40	17.7	16.3	1.34
Shawn Marion	37	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	8	-26	15.8	16.1	-0.32	15.9	17.7	-1.85
Stephon Marbury	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	2	-14	14.9	20.4	-5.53	16.3	19.5	-3.21
Jake Tsakalidis	71	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	15.6	17.5	-1.88	17.0	16.7	0.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	66	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-6	22	17.4	15.6	1.80	16.1	15.5	0.58
Jermaine O'Neal	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-2	14	16.6	18.8	-2.19	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Brad Miller	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	0	10	16.8	17.7	-0.85	15.4	20.5	-5.12
Kevin Ollie	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	16.8	17.0	-0.20	16.1	15.8	0.25
Jonathan Bender	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	9	-8	16.9	17.0	-0.08	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Metta World Peace	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	7	-4	16.3	17.6	-1.29	16.0	15.9	0.16
Jamaal Tinsley	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	17.0	16.8	0.20	15.8	16.1	-0.25
Jeff Foster	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	12	-14	18.3	16.4	1.91	18.6	15.0	3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 66, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SEA 98, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHA 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	96.3%