NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	3.7 [1037]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +33.0%
Toronto Raptors	127		Comeback	1.1 [944]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -7.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.23	0.00	0.16	16	79%	0.13	3	-0.06	15	73%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	9	63%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	12	41%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	16	39%	-0.02	2	-0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Brian Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.35	0.04	0.06	16	93%	0.34	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.04
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.16	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.01	0.07	10	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	29%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	30.1	16.6	28.9	2.6	36.6	141.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.9%

TOR +1.5%

TOR +2.7%

TOR +5.2%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.4	122.2	139.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.6		109.9	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.3	16.8	17.5	12.2	15.9
TOR	16.2	14.5	16.0	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-22	27	17.1	15.7	1.38	15.3	16.0	-0.76
Keyon Dooling	33	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-14	11	16.4	15.6	0.86	16.4	15.7	0.73
Brian Cook	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-8	-1	17.8	15.3	2.46	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Maurice Evans	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-12	7	15.5	16.3	-0.77	17.2	14.7	2.49
Keith Bogans	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-12	7	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.6	16.5	-0.83
Rashard Lewis	84	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-7	-3	15.6	19.3	-3.70	15.8	18.8	-3.02
Hedo Turkoglu	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	5	-27	16.6	14.2	2.37	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Jameer Nelson	57	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.86	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Dwight Howard	79	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.05	-22	5	-27	15.7	17.1	-1.38	16.0	15.3	0.76

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	68	69	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.26	32	-15	47	16.5	14.2	2.31	16.3	14.3	2.01
Chris Bosh	71	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.20	28	-11	39	16.1	15.3	0.83	16.5	13.5	2.98
Jamario Moon	77	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-4	25	16.3	13.9	2.47	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Anthony Parker	64	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-8	33	16.4	14.9	1.45	16.3	14.9	1.34
Carlos Delfino	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	11	-5	15.5	16.7	-1.21	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Rasho Nesterovic	19	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	17	-17	15.5	16.1	-0.53	16.1	15.8	0.29
Andrea Bargnani	34	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	19	-21	16.3	15.8	0.51	16.9	15.2	1.71
Kris Humphries	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	19	-21	14.7	16.2	-1.53	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Jason Kapono	30	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	25	-33	14.5	16.7	-2.16	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Juan Dixon	20	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.26	-15	32	-47	14.7	16.3	-1.53	14.5	16.2	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 81, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 96, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
TOR 91, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%