inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 96 Excitement4.2 [962] MVPMonty Williams (ORL): +7.9%
Orlando Magic 112 Comeback1.1 [1156] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -15.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shandon Anderson0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.002167%0.135-0.071080%0.01
Anthony Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04475%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Bryce Drew0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Gray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Carlos Rogers-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02545%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Moochie Norris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.000.000.04367%-0.021-0.026100%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0040%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.00-0.032240%-0.024-0.073100%0.01
Steve Francis-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.16-0.02-0.03946%-0.046-0.11887%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.011164%0.0800.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.031954%0.122-0.041100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00958%0.0400.001100%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05881%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.011100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00450%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.001338%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02561%0.013-0.03887%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.021540%-0.041-0.02580%0.01
John Amaechi0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.011030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.226.515.325.62.532.2127.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +22.7%
HOU -8.1%
ORL +18.8%
ORL +15.9%
ORL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUORLNBAHOUORLNBA
this game15.913.115.296.0114.3101.7
season15.413.6102.4100.4
opponent15.414.699.3103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.317.716.713.515.9
ORL14.312.313.312.713.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Gray550.00-0.500.50-0.031-171810.416.2-5.8310.813.2-2.45
Bryce Drew1919-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-131013.216.6-3.3712.213.3-1.13
Carlos Rogers4644-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-11614.916.8-1.9413.113.10.03
Anthony Miller3734-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-141216.215.80.4413.612.90.76
Moochie Norris4644-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-6-415.616.2-0.6511.914.1-2.24
Cuttino Mobley7775-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.14-5-11616.414.32.1813.511.91.64
Kelvin Cato4445-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-11-5-616.915.21.6913.113.10.02
Kenny Thomas5454-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.06-11-5-616.814.91.9413.113.1-0.03
Shandon Anderson9694-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-15-1-1415.720.5-4.7513.211.71.43
Steve Francis7676-0.500.00-0.510.05-193-2216.215.01.2913.511.71.86

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer56570.54-0.040.58-0.0721-52613.312.90.4617.214.32.95
Ben Wallace49480.50-0.000.50-0.0619-32213.412.80.6117.514.53.00
Darrell Armstrong62620.460.040.42-0.1521-52613.013.3-0.2516.914.32.62
Bo Outlaw57580.400.100.31-0.1519-32213.213.00.2916.515.21.29
Monty Williams52530.270.230.030.0679-212.913.3-0.3815.216.8-1.68
John Amaechi32320.160.34-0.17-0.01610-413.213.10.1016.715.61.05
Pat Garrity42450.110.39-0.290.14-117-1812.613.5-0.8816.115.80.35
Chucky Atkins46480.060.44-0.380.09-117-1813.213.00.2214.117.7-3.57
Michael Doleac32330.040.46-0.420.01115-1413.812.81.0716.415.70.72
Anthony Johnson550.000.50-0.500.03-117-1810.813.2-2.4510.416.2-5.83
Derek Strong1516-0.000.50-0.500.18-622-2812.813.2-0.3812.416.6-4.24
Corey Maggette4243-0.040.54-0.580.11-521-2612.913.3-0.4614.317.2-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 82, PHX 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
BKN 88, MIA 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
SAC 95, MEM 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%