NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	3.6 [1076]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +15.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	1.1 [1167]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): -10.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	17	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	49%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	13	41%	-0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	15	74%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	16	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	18	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.7	29.4	16.3	29.6	2.4	29.3	133.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.5%

SAC -6.9%

SAC -16.4%

MEM +25.3%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.7	101.1	114.7	100.5
season	14.7	15.3		106.9	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	17.3	15.5	14.8	15.4
MEM	14.7	14.0	15.8	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	46	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.25	13	-27	40	16.3	14.5	1.80	15.9	14.3	1.54
Gerald Wallace	34	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-21	28	17.4	14.2	3.13	15.9	14.6	1.37
Jabari Smith	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	12.2	15.9	-3.66	15.1	15.1	0.06
Tony Massenburg	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-10	6	17.2	14.6	2.66	15.5	14.9	0.52
Darius Songaila	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-21	28	16.6	14.5	2.09	15.7	14.6	1.07
Anthony Peeler	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-15	16	16.9	14.1	2.79	15.2	15.0	0.29
Doug Christie	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	2	-18	13.7	17.2	-3.44	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Brad Miller	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	7	-28	14.5	16.6	-2.09	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Vlade Divac	53	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	3	-20	15.2	15.7	-0.49	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Peja Stojakovic	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	6	-26	14.2	17.2	-2.98	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Mike Bibby	53	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.15	-27	13	-40	14.8	16.1	-1.22	14.6	15.7	-1.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	70	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.07	23	-9	32	15.0	15.3	-0.25	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Mike Miller	68	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	-12	38	14.8	15.8	-1.01	15.6	14.7	0.96
Jason Williams	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-4	22	14.8	15.9	-1.06	14.5	17.6	-3.10
Pau Gasol	75	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-3	20	14.8	16.1	-1.27	14.2	19.4	-5.15
Lorenzen Wright	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	16.1	14.1	1.92	16.7	13.9	2.82
Jake Tsakalidis	13	12	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	12.9	15.4	-2.52	11.7	15.9	-4.26
Stromile Swift	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	11	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Dahntay Jones	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	20	-26	15.1	15.1	0.03	17.2	14.7	2.51
Bo Outlaw	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	18	-22	15.6	14.9	0.73	17.7	14.4	3.27
Earl Watson	27	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	18	-22	15.9	14.8	1.06	17.6	14.5	3.10
Shane Battier	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	21	-28	16.2	15.0	1.24	11.7	15.8	-4.11
Bonzi Wells	17	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	22	-30	15.8	14.9	0.89	14.3	15.6	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%