inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 80 Excitement3.2 [1128] MVPSteve Francis (HOU): +15.2%
Houston Rockets 103 Comeback1.2 [1149] LVPKevin Ollie (MIL): -9.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Cassell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.021758%0.053-0.034100%0.01
Joel Przybilla0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Flip Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Haislip-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.040.000.06762%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Anthony Mason-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01850%-0.0200.00683%0.02
Tim Thomas-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.000.071254%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Michael Redd-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01955%0.014-0.084100%0.01
Kevin Ollie-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.02-0.061329%-0.042-0.052100%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.030.001574%0.192-0.045100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.011368%0.093-0.022100%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.010.04973%0.0600.004100%0.01
Glen Rice0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01646%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Terence Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04638%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.04-0.00-0.04250%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.04375%-0.0200.00650%-0.03
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.03647%-0.012-0.03333%-0.02
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02333%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01839%-0.022-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.826.116.528.22.022.2118.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +57.2%
MIL -1.2%
MIL -8.2%
HOU +0.7%
HOU +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILHOUNBAMILHOUNBA
this game16.216.215.588.9117.0101.6
season15.416.3106.3101.7
opponent15.415.8100.4106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.219.114.516.016.2
HOU14.115.218.217.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla25240.11-0.610.730.052-252716.416.10.2817.215.81.32
Flip Murray1313-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-211914.216.5-2.3418.015.92.11
Dan Gadzuric2021-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-262914.516.6-2.0618.215.62.67
Marcus Haislip4442-0.09-0.410.320.12-7-16916.216.20.0117.515.12.39
Kevin Ollie5555-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-191516.415.80.5817.414.23.14
Jason Caffey3635-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-19-4-1517.215.41.7816.715.90.80
Michael Redd5351-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-16-7-917.114.82.3315.716.9-1.28
Ervin Johnson3231-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-8-715.316.6-1.3113.517.7-4.15
Tim Thomas6058-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.02-12-11-115.816.8-1.0215.218.2-3.03
Anthony Mason5149-0.41-0.09-0.320.15-19-4-1516.615.51.0915.816.7-0.97
Sam Cassell6161-0.49-0.01-0.480.27-263-2915.717.0-1.3015.717.4-1.68

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cuttino Mobley69720.500.000.50-0.122121915.618.5-2.8916.116.4-0.36
Steve Francis59600.460.040.42-0.212302315.916.9-1.0315.717.1-1.47
James Posey42430.370.130.230.021211116.316.10.2517.514.92.64
Kelvin Cato36360.360.140.23-0.021310316.416.00.4117.415.32.10
Maurice Taylor21220.310.190.120.011013-315.816.3-0.5818.215.52.68
Eddie Griffin52530.190.31-0.12-0.22149515.816.8-0.9715.616.9-1.30
Yao Ming52540.140.36-0.23-0.161013-316.016.4-0.4115.317.4-2.10
Glen Rice46470.130.37-0.23-0.191112-116.116.3-0.2514.917.5-2.64
Moochie Norris35350.040.46-0.420.04023-2317.315.51.8917.915.12.83
Terence Morris15150.000.50-0.500.03-124-2518.215.82.4115.116.4-1.31
Bostjan Nachbar13130.000.50-0.50-0.06221-1918.015.92.1114.216.5-2.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 95, MEM 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
ATL 75, MIN 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAS 100, DET 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%