NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	3.7 [1088]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +11.0%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.3 [1099]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -15.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	-0.00	-0.08	16	54%	0.10	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	53%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	9	11%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	8	81%	0.12	2	-0.01	10	70%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	58%	0.04	1	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	13	33%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	544.7	2.4	29.3	14.8	24.1	1.7	29.2	646.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.8%

PHX +23.2%

CHI -2.7%

PHX +10.8%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.5	86.3	104.2	104.0
season	15.1	13.5		100.1	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.4		106.2	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	17.7	14.4	14.3	15.5
PHX	16.5	10.0	17.6	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-19	20	13.0	16.3	-3.27	14.9	14.5	0.32
Othella Harrington	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-18	18	13.6	16.2	-2.56	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Luol Deng	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-17	16	15.5	15.6	-0.10	16.0	13.5	2.51
Eric Piatkowski	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	15.8	15.5	0.28	17.6	13.8	3.83
Jannero Pargo	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-6	-6	16.2	15.4	0.84	18.8	13.7	5.12
Kirk Hinrich	38	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-14	10	15.6	15.5	0.01	15.9	13.6	2.29
Chris Duhon	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-18	18	15.2	15.9	-0.68	12.1	16.6	-4.44
Antonio Davis	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-7	-4	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.7	14.5	0.19
Tyson Chandler	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-6	-6	15.6	15.5	0.07	15.4	13.2	2.18
Andres Nocioni	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	-1	-16	17.4	14.3	3.04	12.7	15.9	-3.15
Ben Gordon	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	-2	-14	15.5	15.6	-0.02	13.4	18.0	-4.58
Eddy Curry	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-4	-10	15.8	15.0	0.73	14.1	15.9	-1.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-2	22	15.1	13.0	2.01	15.8	14.6	1.20
Joe Johnson	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	2	14	14.9	13.6	1.28	15.8	14.5	1.33
Steve Nash	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.02	16	2	14	14.0	15.5	-1.47	16.8	13.8	3.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	-6	30	13.9	16.5	-2.60	16.5	12.8	3.78
Quentin Richardson	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	3	12	13.7	15.6	-1.91	16.5	14.5	2.03
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	9	0	17.7	13.9	3.76	16.5	15.3	1.18
Casey Jacobsen	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	15	-12	14.6	14.6	0.08	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Leandro Barbosa	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	16	-14	15.5	14.0	1.47	13.8	16.8	-3.06
Steven Hunter	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	18.6	14.2	4.37	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Maciej Lampe	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	13.7	14.8	-1.12	11.8	16.2	-4.41
Jackson Vroman	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	13.6	14.7	-1.10	9.7	16.2	-6.54
Bo Outlaw	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	23	-28	12.0	14.9	-2.85	14.6	15.7	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 84, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%