NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	4.5 [957]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +15.5%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.1 [512]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -14.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14	0.08	0.09	0.02	13	64%	0.18	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.06	22	31%	-0.10	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	15	45%	-0.06	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.03	19	53%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.05
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	55%	0.05	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	2	58%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	6	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	11	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	31.6	18.3	27.4	3.4	48.3	160.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.7%

CHI -4.8%

IND +12.1%

IND +13.9%

IND +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.5	94.4	101.1	105.7
season	15.7	14.7		106.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	16.3	17.3	13.9	15.7
IND	15.2	17.2	17.9	17.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.30	18.3	16.7	1.64
Omer Asik	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	12.5	15.9	-3.42	18.8	16.7	2.05
Keith Bogans	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-3	1	16.3	15.3	1.04	17.7	16.3	1.32
Carlos Boozer	66	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.53	13	-18	31	15.9	15.0	0.92	17.3	15.6	1.70
Taj Gibson	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	14.3	16.4	-2.09	16.9	16.9	0.01
Kurt Thomas	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	2	-9	17.5	15.3	2.22	14.2	17.4	-3.15
Ronnie Brewer	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	2	-9	17.1	15.3	1.74	14.8	17.4	-2.65
Kyle Korver	40	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.2	16.1	-0.93	17.2	16.6	0.61
Luol Deng	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	15.4	21.2	-5.84	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Joakim Noah	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	9	-23	16.0	15.1	0.91	16.8	16.9	-0.04
Derrick Rose	81	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.7	18.3	-1.64

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	44	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	15.9	17.8	-1.86	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Mike Dunleavy	20	23	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-8	21	17.5	16.7	0.82	16.2	15.5	0.72
Paul George	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-5	15	17.3	16.5	0.75	16.7	14.9	1.80
Darren Collison	62	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	9	-13	16.3	18.1	-1.78	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Roy Hibbert	59	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	7	-9	17.1	16.4	0.62	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Danny Granger	71	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	10	-15	16.5	18.2	-1.70	14.7	19.7	-5.06
A.J. Price	25	24	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-5	15	18.8	16.1	2.76	17.1	15.2	1.97
Tyler Hansbrough	45	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	2	1	17.4	16.3	1.14	15.8	15.6	0.22
Jeff Foster	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	17.0	16.8	0.20	16.3	15.4	0.93
Dahntay Jones	41	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.38	-12	17	-29	15.7	17.9	-2.26	16.1	15.4	0.74
Brandon Rush	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.07	3	2	1	21.3	16.5	4.80	14.0	15.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 100, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 58, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%