NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	5.0 [823]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +20.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	78		Comeback	1.9 [300]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.09	-0.01	14	63%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	19	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	18	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	21	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	13	41%	-0.03	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.3	15.5	27.6	2.8	27.8	129.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.8%

MIN -19.8%

DAL +9.2%

DAL +18.9%

MIN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	14.9	98.9	88.6	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		105.0	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.7		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	16.9	16.6	17.9	17.2
MIN	12.6	17.4	14.1	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	57	54	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.22	16	-6	22	18.3	15.2	3.06	15.1	15.8	-0.72
David Lee	31	32	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	17.9	16.8	1.16	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Zaza Pachulia	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	16.9	17.4	-0.51	16.2	14.7	1.51
Raymond Felton	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	19.0	16.3	2.70	16.8	14.6	2.25
Justin Anderson	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	3	4	15.4	19.3	-3.92	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Jose Juan Barea	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	5	0	16.4	19.2	-2.72	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Dirk Nowitzki	63	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	6	-2	16.5	18.8	-2.35	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Wesley Matthews	67	66	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	12	-14	17.4	16.4	1.08	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Salah Mejri	39	36	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	11	-12	17.7	16.7	1.00	14.0	16.3	-2.29
Dwight Powell	5	6	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	6	-2	19.0	17.1	1.93	21.2	14.9	6.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	61	61	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-17	24	15.9	14.2	1.68	17.4	16.6	0.84
Tayshaun Prince	17	15	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-13	16	13.9	15.7	-1.82	17.4	17.1	0.26
Gorgui Dieng	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-14	18	15.3	15.4	-0.02	18.3	16.2	2.09
Adreian Payne	24	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-11	12	17.2	14.7	2.55	17.1	17.2	-0.15
Andrew Wiggins	74	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-13	16	15.3	15.8	-0.52	17.3	16.6	0.66
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.2	18.0	-2.81	16.7	24.4	-7.65
Zach LaVine	53	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	15.9	14.5	1.44	17.8	16.2	1.59
Shabazz Muhammad	32	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	9	-28	15.4	15.3	0.04	15.8	17.9	-2.16
Tyus Jones	27	28	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.13	-17	7	-24	14.2	15.9	-1.68	16.6	17.4	-0.84
Nemanja Bjelica	28	26	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.01	-21	11	-32	14.2	15.9	-1.62	16.9	17.3	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 122, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAC 120, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
PHI 108, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0	93.3%