inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 108 Excitement5.8 [646] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +14.5%
Denver Nuggets 105 Comeback2.4 [268] LVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): -17.7%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.00487%0.1200.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.110.090.030.011167%0.1100.002100%0.01
Allen Iverson0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.02-0.021159%0.142-0.067100%0.04
Rodney Carney0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.10-0.000.035110%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Marreese Speights0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.00480%0.0600.002100%0.01
Willie Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02-0.050.03-0.041137%0.051-0.03250%-0.03
Lou Williams0.010,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.001052%0.021-0.013100%0.01
Thaddeus Young0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02952%0.041-0.03580%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.033100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.150,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.02931%-0.093-0.06850%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.150.150.160.060.071370%0.1500.00786%0.02
Nene0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.060.10-0.010.041562%0.071-0.02967%-0.08
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01-0.010.07-0.050.041265%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.021252%0.033-0.06933%-0.09
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01350%-0.011-0.0320%-0.03
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02743%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.060.01333%-0.043-0.1000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.031233%-0.046-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.431.616.525.42.539.4145.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +1.3%
PHI +28.8%
PHI +2.4%
PHI +18.6%
DEN -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIDENNBAPHIDENNBA
this game15.913.215.3109.1106.1106.0
season15.114.4104.2110.3
opponent15.515.8106.4108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI15.912.915.920.115.9
DEN11.813.314.113.513.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Green41410.64-0.140.780.2613-102315.816.1-0.3114.212.41.86
Jrue Holiday20210.61-0.110.730.1117-143116.215.90.3314.712.71.98
Elton Brand70700.50-0.000.510.4521116.414.91.4713.512.31.24
Jason Smith14150.440.060.390.1510-71716.515.80.6516.212.63.59
Rodney Carney29290.260.240.020.067-41115.416.1-0.6914.112.71.40
Andre Iguodala71710.230.27-0.040.40-69-1516.015.80.2112.614.6-2.03
Thaddeus Young51480.100.40-0.30-0.024-1514.018.0-4.0013.113.2-0.09
Allen Iverson72730.040.46-0.430.24-710-1715.916.1-0.1912.814.1-1.31
Marreese Speights24250.010.49-0.480.10-36-916.715.71.0710.314.1-3.84
Samuel Dalembert3939-0.100.60-0.710.10-710-1717.015.21.7513.512.90.64
Lou Williams6463-0.230.73-0.950.21-1518-3316.215.50.7012.314.6-2.29

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen19190.01-0.510.510.04-1-2112.313.4-1.1016.615.80.79
Arron Afflalo5455-0.05-0.450.41-0.4012-152712.214.3-2.0417.613.93.70
Nene7776-0.21-0.290.08-0.334-71113.113.2-0.0415.816.5-0.76
Joey Graham6768-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-74-1113.213.00.2214.319.5-5.11
Ty Lawson6466-0.24-0.260.01-0.333-6912.813.9-1.0915.616.7-1.14
Kenyon Martin8486-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.422-5712.914.4-1.4716.115.01.08
Anthony Carter4138-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-107-1714.212.41.7416.615.51.04
Malik Allen1817-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.11-118-1915.212.72.4615.316.1-0.78
J.R. Smith7170-0.620.12-0.74-0.42-74-1113.512.11.4116.215.30.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 120, SEA 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%
TOR 101, MIA 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,093.6%
DAL 88, MIN 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,093.3%