NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	7.5 [352]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +18.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	17.4 [26]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): -25.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17	0.08	0.12	0.03	10	62%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Harden	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14	0.06	0.12	0.04	16	64%	0.22	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.10	-0.02	10	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	3	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	22	32%	-0.29

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.16	-0.00	23	56%	0.27	5	-0.09	9	89%	-0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	8	64%	0.00	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	6	29%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.20	-0.00	14	37%	-0.18	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.8	34.2	17.4	25.5	3.3	41.7	156.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +66.4%

CLE -24.0%

HOU +19.1%

CLE -8.0%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	16.9	14.9	110.4	104.2	105.1
season	14.0	15.8		105.9	110.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.7	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.5	14.6	13.8	11.8	13.1
CLE	18.2	16.0	16.2	17.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	63	62	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.30	22	-16	38	13.0	13.5	-0.56	17.5	15.6	1.87
Michael Beasley	58	56	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	12.7	13.9	-1.20	15.9	18.1	-2.18
James Harden	89	89	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-8	22	13.0	14.9	-1.85	16.7	18.3	-1.54
Dwight Howard	62	64	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.55	3	3	0	12.5	14.3	-1.78	16.7	17.1	-0.36
Trevor Ariza	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	3	0	12.8	15.3	-2.51	16.5	19.2	-2.76
Clint Capela	33	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	5	-4	14.3	12.5	1.81	17.2	16.7	0.50
Donatas Motiejunas	19	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	8	-10	12.9	13.2	-0.25	18.0	16.5	1.47
Jason Terry	17	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	14	-22	15.5	12.6	2.90	15.3	17.2	-1.90
KJ McDaniels	32	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	11	-16	14.1	12.7	1.37	17.2	16.7	0.55
Corey Brewer	26	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.05	-9	15	-24	13.8	12.9	0.91	18.4	16.3	2.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	17	16	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.13	15	-21	36	15.5	17.2	-1.68	13.9	13.0	0.95
Mo Williams	11	11	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-15	24	16.5	16.9	-0.45	15.5	12.8	2.61
Richard Jefferson	21	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-11	16	17.4	16.7	0.74	15.4	12.4	2.95
Timofey Mozgov	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-2	-2	17.1	16.8	0.32	13.8	13.0	0.78
Channing Frye	20	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	18.5	16.4	2.14	11.9	13.5	-1.66
Matthew Dellavedova	38	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	1	-8	17.3	16.6	0.72	13.2	13.1	0.09
Iman Shumpert	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	16.7	17.2	-0.52	12.9	13.8	-0.83
Tristan Thompson	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-4	2	16.8	17.1	-0.32	13.0	13.8	-0.78
J.R. Smith	70	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	3	-12	17.0	16.5	0.49	12.9	13.8	-0.95
Kyrie Irving	77	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	4	-14	16.5	18.1	-1.56	12.5	15.3	-2.74
Kevin Love	59	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.25	-16	10	-26	16.7	17.1	-0.46	13.4	12.7	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.66,0.55,0.21,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	91.4%
DEN 107, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.08,0	90.1%
LAL 96, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.15,0	90.1%