NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	8.1 [217]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +29.2%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	10.6 [50]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -34.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.18	0.01	10	61%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Kareem Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	100%	0.29	4	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.03	-0.12	0.08	-0.01	19	43%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Slava Medvedenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	10	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.10	0.04	18	57%	-0.07	2	-0.08	13	15%	-0.26

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.29	0.07	0.22	0.00	12	65%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.12,-0.05	-0.05	0.12	-0.19	-0.02	21	67%	-0.04	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	53%	0.14	4	-0.19	6	67%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34	-0.34	-0.18	-0.19	-0.02	13	19%	-0.26	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	33.3	17.5	31.3	3.5	44.2	160.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +61.2%

HOU -21.4%

LAL +22.4%

HOU -12.0%

HOU -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.7	107.9	104.5	100.5
season	15.4	16.5		102.8	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	16.9	14.8	14.0	15.4
HOU	16.8	14.4	17.9	18.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	86	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-6	15	15.4	16.0	-0.58	16.9	17.7	-0.77
Derek Fisher	32	33	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.57	0	3	-3	15.4	15.5	-0.05	18.0	16.3	1.67
Shaquille O'Neal	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	2	-1	15.8	13.8	2.01	17.4	14.6	2.88
Kareem Rush	30	28	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	-1	5	14.9	15.7	-0.86	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Gary Payton	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	0	3	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.4	18.4	-2.05
Slava Medvedenko	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	-1	5	15.2	15.8	-0.58	16.5	17.7	-1.14
Luke Walton	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	4	-5	15.7	15.3	0.39	18.0	16.4	1.55
Devean George	0	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	0.0	15.4	-15.44	9.0	17.0	-8.01
Brian Cook	17	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	1	1	13.9	15.8	-1.85	14.4	17.4	-3.03
Rick Fox	44	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-2	7	15.4	15.5	-0.10	17.3	16.5	0.83
Bryon Russell	10	11	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	15	-27	18.4	15.1	3.34	16.5	17.0	-0.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	36	35	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.04	4	-7	11	17.1	16.8	0.37	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Mark Jackson	10	10	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-8	13	14.5	17.2	-2.73	18.0	15.1	2.89
Adrian Griffin	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-3	3	1.0	17.1	-16.10	2.0	15.6	-13.59
Kelvin Cato	56	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	5	-13	16.6	17.5	-0.99	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Jim Jackson	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.49	11	-14	25	16.7	18.0	-1.28	16.1	11.1	5.03
Yao Ming	66	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.59	11	-14	25	17.0	16.7	0.36	15.9	14.0	1.86
Steve Francis	79	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	5	-13	17.2	14.5	2.73	15.1	18.0	-2.89
Maurice Taylor	56	55	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	6	-15	17.2	16.5	0.69	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Cuttino Mobley	66	65	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.39	-21	18	-39	17.3	15.9	1.36	15.0	16.6	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.24,0.05,0	91.7%
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	91.5%
LAC 118, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	90.6%