NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	118		Excitement	7.1 [422]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +31.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	14.4 [76]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -13.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.22	0.12	0.04	15	72%	0.41	3	-0.10	24	71%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	7	56%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	23	58%	0.14	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.04
Sam Cassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	40%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.20	-0.02	0.02	33	62%	0.26	3	-0.09	15	100%	0.09
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	-0.04	1	0.01	6	50%	-0.05
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	31.0	20.7	36.4	3.6	38.2	159.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.7%

LAC +17.6%

LAC +8.9%

LAL -0.3%

LAC +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	15.4	115.7	106.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.3		103.3	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	16.2	13.1	12.0	14.5
LAL	13.4	12.2	12.6	16.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	93	94	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.17	20	-12	32	14.2	17.6	-3.32	13.8	10.9	2.94
Cuttino Mobley	76	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-6	20	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Corey Maggette	93	92	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.28	13	-5	18	14.3	17.2	-2.95	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Tim Thomas	63	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	13.7	15.9	-2.17	14.4	12.2	2.24
Sam Cassell	41	39	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	6	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.8	12.8	2.05
James Singleton	2	3	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	6	-4	22.0	14.4	7.62	9.3	13.7	-4.37
Jason Hart	59	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	4	0	14.6	14.5	0.07	12.8	14.8	-2.01
Quinton Ross	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	19	-30	15.0	14.2	0.75	13.3	13.8	-0.51
Chris Kaman	46	46	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.01	-18	26	-44	16.2	13.2	3.03	12.5	14.4	-1.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	4	4	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.05	5	-13	18	10.7	13.7	-2.94	21.2	14.3	6.99
Brian Cook	5	4	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-8	8	13.4	13.6	-0.18	17.7	14.4	3.35
Maurice Evans	53	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	13.3	13.9	-0.56	15.0	14.1	0.92
Jordan Farmar	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	13.0	13.6	-0.63	12.5	14.8	-2.33
Ronny Turiaf	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	13.2	14.3	-1.17	15.0	13.7	1.33
Sasha Vujacic	12	12	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	17.4	13.1	4.35	10.9	15.0	-4.09
Lamar Odom	88	88	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-4	0	13.4	14.5	-1.12	14.6	13.9	0.78
Andrew Bynum	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	2	-12	14.3	13.2	1.17	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Smush Parker	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	13.1	14.7	-1.59	15.0	13.4	1.55
Kobe Bryant	103	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.6	0.0	13.57	14.5	0.0	14.53
Luke Walton	64	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	5	-18	14.1	12.7	1.42	13.9	15.5	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	90.9%
SAS 74, CLE 68	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	90.6%
LAL 96, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.15,0	90.6%