NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	9.8 [80]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +28.6%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	4.2 [198]		LVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): -55.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29	0.05	0.24	0.01	10	64%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	18	72%	0.32	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	6	42%	-0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.20	-0.00	15	27%	-0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.56	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.31,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.56	-0.19	-0.36	0.00	13	34%	-0.26	7	-0.30	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.03	0.05	12	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	7	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	12	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	8	37%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	-0.00	16	56%	-0.03	3	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.07	-0.19	0.00	6	25%	-0.21	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	27.2	15.7	23.2	2.3	31.4	127.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.7%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +6.5%

IND -18.9%

CHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	14.9	104.3	101.1	105.1
season	14.8	14.6		103.7	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		101.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	15.8	16.2	18.0	16.4
IND	14.3	14.2	13.3	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	48	47	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-9	20	16.0	16.8	-0.74	14.0	14.2	-0.17
Nikola Mirotic	71	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	0	2	16.4	16.2	0.22	14.2	13.7	0.48
Aaron Brooks	40	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-14	30	15.3	17.2	-1.89	14.5	13.8	0.75
Pau Gasol	65	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	9	-16	16.8	15.5	1.30	13.2	15.9	-2.67
Taj Gibson	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-8	18	16.0	16.5	-0.42	15.8	13.7	2.15
Doug McDermott	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	-8	18	16.1	16.5	-0.37	15.2	13.6	1.62
Cristiano Felicio	12	13	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-3	8	17.7	16.2	1.57	15.2	13.9	1.21
Justin Holiday	5	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-2	6	17.4	16.3	1.07	20.0	13.8	6.22
Derrick Rose	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	15	-28	17.0	15.4	1.61	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Jimmy Butler	69	70	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	14	-26	16.8	15.3	1.45	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Bobby Portis	20	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	8	-14	14.4	16.9	-2.52	14.1	14.1	0.04
Mike Dunleavy	34	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.13	-10	12	-22	16.4	16.4	-0.00	13.3	14.6	-1.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	35	33	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-8	14	13.3	14.5	-1.21	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Ian Mahinmi	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-6	10	13.3	15.3	-1.95	16.3	16.6	-0.35
Jordan Hill	15	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	3	-8	15.9	13.8	2.17	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Monta Ellis	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-12	22	13.1	15.9	-2.86	16.9	15.4	1.49
George Hill	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-12	22	13.1	15.9	-2.86	16.9	15.4	1.49
Paul George	72	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-9	16	13.7	15.5	-1.87	16.6	15.8	0.74
Rodney Stuckey	34	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	10	-22	15.9	13.1	2.86	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Ty Lawson	34	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	10	-22	15.9	13.1	2.86	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Myles Turner	29	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	2	-6	14.6	13.9	0.64	18.0	15.6	2.41
CJ Miles	23	23	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	7	-16	15.5	13.7	1.87	15.8	16.6	-0.74
Solomon Hill	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	3	-8	14.7	13.4	1.30	16.3	16.4	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.84,0.72,0	90.6%
MIA 77, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,0	90.4%
CHA 112, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.2%