NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	112		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +68.6%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	4.7 [180]		LVP	CJ Watson (GSW): -14.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.69	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.69	0.11	0.58	0.00	11	73%	0.75	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	61%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,-0.03	0.06	-0.04	0.06	16	70%	0.15	6	-0.18	5	100%	0.05
D.J. Augustin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	5	57%	0.02	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	13	52%	0.06	4	-0.18	3	33%	-0.15

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.41	0.41	0.05	0.33	-0.02	24	58%	0.73	5	-0.32	9	78%	0.06
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	8	74%	0.30	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.06
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	9	78%	0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	13	69%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	10	42%	-0.02	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	33.2	15.7	24.3	1.8	44.1	145.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.2%

GSW -21.4%

CHA +56.5%

GSW -6.5%

GSW -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	15.5	112.0	109.0	106.4
season	16.5	13.8		103.0	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.6		111.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.5	17.5	14.9	15.3	14.9
GSW	14.1	15.2	13.4	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	88	88	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.52	7	-4	11	14.9	15.6	-0.72	13.9	13.7	0.11
Raja Bell	91	92	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-5	13	14.8	16.2	-1.40	13.8	13.9	-0.03
Raymond Felton	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	14.5	16.6	-2.16	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Gerald Wallace	71	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	7	-11	14.1	17.1	-3.03	13.5	14.7	-1.22
DeSagana Diop	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	16.9	14.0	2.97	15.3	13.1	2.21
Emeka Okafor	65	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	8	-13	14.4	16.0	-1.62	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	0	3	16.7	13.8	2.90	14.4	13.5	0.96
D.J. Augustin	28	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	4	-5	15.4	14.8	0.66	14.5	13.6	0.84
Cartier Martin	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	16.2	14.9	1.32	15.0	13.8	1.21

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	46	45	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.05	9	-12	21	14.3	13.5	0.84	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Andris Biedrins	63	63	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-11	19	13.6	14.3	-0.67	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Stephen Jackson	88	90	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-9	15	14.0	12.5	1.53	14.5	18.9	-4.39
Anthony Randolph	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	2	-7	15.3	13.6	1.67	16.8	14.7	2.13
Ronny Turiaf	25	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	2	-7	14.3	13.7	0.63	16.0	14.6	1.44
Kelenna Azubuike	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.51	3	-6	9	13.4	15.7	-2.37	15.1	14.4	0.66
Anthony Morrow	32	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	12	-27	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.9	14.5	1.33
CJ Watson	94	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	2	-7	13.6	17.3	-3.71	14.7	19.5	-4.84
Corey Maggette	58	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.47	-11	8	-19	13.6	14.2	-0.67	15.7	13.8	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	91.0%
WAS 88, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.92,0	90.8%
CHI 98, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.59,0	90.2%