NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	77		Excitement	9.1 [123]		MVP	DeSagana Diop (CLE): +1.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Comeback	2.7 [363]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -39.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Lampley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Malik Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.06	5	-0.16	4	50%	0.03
Travis Best	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.18,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	11	57%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.06
Brian Grant	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	6	39%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	12	38%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Mike James	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	0.00	8	43%	-0.23	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	15	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.24	-0.24	0.01	-0.25	0.00	10	58%	-0.02	1	-0.22	6	83%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.00	8	0%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39	-0.39	-0.17	-0.24	-0.01	22	36%	-0.28	2	-0.12	9	78%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.9	15.7	25.1	1.8	35.8	137.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +55.1%

MIA +30.0%

CLE -33.3%

CLE -4.8%

MIA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	87.5	83.3	101.6
season	16.3	15.1		94.6	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.9		104.3	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	12.5	15.4	18.9	15.8
CLE	14.8	16.3	15.9	19.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	48	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-8	18	15.9	15.5	0.39	18.2	14.6	3.64
Brian Grant	57	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.59	-2	4	-6	16.0	15.4	0.58	16.9	15.9	1.05
Travis Best	73	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	3	-4	15.6	16.7	-1.17	15.8	20.6	-4.80
Caron Butler	75	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	4	-6	15.1	19.4	-4.25	16.6	16.2	0.42
Vladimir Stepania	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-9	20	16.0	15.1	0.90	17.8	13.7	4.17
Sean Lampley	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	-7	16	15.8	15.7	0.05	17.3	16.3	0.96
Malik Allen	52	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	6	-10	15.8	15.7	0.07	15.1	18.8	-3.65
Rasual Butler	47	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.02	-11	13	-24	16.3	15.2	1.06	15.2	18.2	-3.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	23	23	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-4	6	18.3	16.0	2.25	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Darius Miles	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.2	18.4	-4.21	16.0	15.6	0.38
DeSagana Diop	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	18.9	16.1	2.81	12.4	16.5	-4.05
Smush Parker	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	4	-10	17.5	16.1	1.42	14.4	16.6	-2.25
Milt Palacio	58	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-7	12	16.2	17.3	-1.17	17.0	13.5	3.47
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	2	-6	16.4	17.0	-0.61	16.2	14.8	1.37
Tierre Brown	4	4	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	5	-12	16.7	16.6	0.17	12.0	15.9	-3.94
Ricky Davis	84	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	16.5	17.7	-1.15	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Jumaine Jones	49	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-3	4	18.3	14.5	3.81	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Carlos Boozer	74	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-2	2	16.2	18.4	-2.17	16.3	13.4	2.91
Michael Stewart	9	6	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	13.8	16.9	-3.12	19.8	15.5	4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.42,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.92,0	92.4%
PHX 100, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.58,0	91.4%
CHH 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	91.0%