NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	120		Excitement	11.1 [31]		MVP	Deron Williams (DAL): +56.7%
Dallas Mavericks	132		Comeback	2.5 [492]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -46.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.19	0.32	0.04	13	77%	0.49	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	22	48%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	11	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.01	-0.17	0.00	12	50%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.36,-0.33,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.47,-0.47	-0.09	-0.36	0.02	26	45%	-0.37	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.57	0.14	0.36	-0.07	18	76%	0.72	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.24	0.01	0.07	26	70%	0.22	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	7	69%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.13	0.04	6	62%	-0.09	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.33

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	31.3	0.7	28.4	15.5	26.0	1.8	31.6	1.8	15.3	152.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +98.7%

POR -7.8%

POR -31.3%

POR -6.3%

POR -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	14.9	111.1	122.2	105.1
season	15.0	15.5		107.1	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	12.8	19.4	17.0	17.1	12.5	15.8
DAL	12.4	12.7	16.5	14.9	10.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	42	40	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.11	7	-19	26	14.7	16.6	-1.92	14.1	13.3	0.75
Maurice Harkless	32	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-17	22	14.0	16.6	-2.57	13.7	13.6	0.09
Brian Roberts	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-8	4	10.3	16.0	-5.67	3.0	13.9	-10.90
Gerald Henderson	52	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-9	6	15.9	15.8	0.12	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Noah Vonleh	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.10	-1	-11	10	17.1	15.4	1.69	14.6	13.2	1.41
Allen Crabbe	75	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-6	0	15.1	17.6	-2.50	13.2	14.5	-1.23
Damian Lillard	91	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-7	2	15.8	15.9	-0.05	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	-3	-6	16.4	14.8	1.62	14.1	12.7	1.39
CJ McCollum	87	88	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.01	-24	12	-36	16.3	13.8	2.58	13.8	12.6	1.17
Mason Plumlee	63	64	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.27	-20	8	-28	16.8	14.5	2.28	13.7	13.4	0.36

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	63	63	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.29	30	-18	48	13.7	13.5	0.16	17.5	13.5	3.96
Raymond Felton	50	51	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.56	15	-3	18	14.4	12.9	1.49	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Deron Williams	86	86	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.25	20	-8	28	13.5	14.1	-0.61	16.0	15.4	0.60
Wesley Matthews	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.13	17	-5	22	13.8	13.1	0.65	16.9	12.6	4.30
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	5	2	13.9	12.7	1.21	15.8	15.8	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	3	6	13.2	13.7	-0.48	16.6	15.6	0.97
Justin Anderson	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	13	-14	11.7	13.9	-2.25	10.6	16.7	-6.09
Zaza Pachulia	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	17	-22	13.6	13.6	-0.00	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Devin Harris	47	48	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.12	-11	23	-34	12.9	14.1	-1.18	14.3	17.1	-2.83
David Lee	35	34	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.19	-13	25	-38	13.5	13.7	-0.17	12.9	17.2	-4.28
Jose Juan Barea	48	47	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.36	-8	20	-28	13.6	13.6	0.04	16.7	15.1	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.32,0.82,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, CHA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	88.7%
ATL 84, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	88.2%
MIL 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.75,0.69,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.97,0.95,1	87.6%