inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Excitement9.5 [76] MVPCarl Landry (HOU): +31.0%
Houston Rockets 101 Comeback4.8 [342] LVPAaron Brooks (HOU): -58.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kurt Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0.010,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.030.021168%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Charlie Bell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00233%0.0000.002100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00350%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.021547%0.093-0.1500%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09-0.01-0.08-0.001651%0.013-0.1030%-0.06
Hakim Warrick-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.100.01750%-0.082-0.062100%0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.150,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.150.00-0.130.022448%-0.082-0.07475%-0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.20.03-0.23-0.001055%-0.021-0.1900%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.310.310.020.27-0.011050%0.341-0.034100%0.07
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.110.150.011861%0.291-0.03887%0.09
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.08-0.01-0.01967%0.0800.0000%0.00
David Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00375%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.050.030.020.00556%0.0500.00667%-0.03
Charles Hayes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00540%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.050.02955%-0.033-0.062100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.07-0.01647%0.002-0.093100%0.02
Aaron Brooks0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57,-0.58,-0.58,-0.59-0.59-0.17-0.42-0.002129%-0.362-0.23367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.525.315.827.21.732.21.620.1149.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +1.0%
HOU +43.5%
MIL -4.7%
HOU +8.1%
HOU +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILHOUNBAMILHOUNBA
this game16.015.815.398.0101.0106.0
season15.515.0103.3106.0
opponent15.115.5106.1101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL15.018.413.617.815.616.0
HOU15.614.315.217.417.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Bell35360.10-0.600.69-0.148-111916.515.80.6916.315.40.90
Kurt Thomas1211-0.04-0.460.420.05-30-317.015.91.0915.215.8-0.65
Ersan Ilyasova1518-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-1-116.815.90.8914.716.0-1.33
Jodie Meeks2829-0.11-0.390.27-0.05-2-1-114.516.6-2.1415.815.8-0.00
Andrew Bogut8385-0.20-0.300.11-0.345-81315.916.8-0.8716.113.92.15
Luc Mbah a Moute8482-0.22-0.280.07-0.313-6916.016.4-0.4716.313.42.89
Luke Ridnour5755-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.29-2-1-116.315.70.6815.915.50.41
Carlos Delfino7170-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-1-115.716.8-1.1116.114.91.18
Hakim Warrick3532-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.14-96-1516.615.80.8214.616.3-1.72
Brandon Jennings8082-0.820.32-1.14-0.50-118-1916.215.50.6815.019.2-4.22

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks94940.62-0.120.750.427-41115.519.2-3.6216.311.84.48
Carl Landry58590.52-0.020.550.269-61515.516.1-0.6616.115.90.23
Shane Battier59590.410.090.320.50-36-916.514.71.8716.215.80.36
Chase Budinger28280.230.27-0.04-0.0610-71715.415.9-0.5617.015.71.33
David Andersen16160.210.29-0.07-0.0810-71713.516.2-2.6917.915.72.18
Luis Scola73740.190.31-0.110.46-912-2116.413.92.5115.816.7-0.83
Trevor Ariza77760.140.36-0.210.47-1114-2516.214.41.7815.019.2-4.17
Kyle Lowry48490.140.36-0.23-0.015-2714.616.8-2.1416.215.90.28
Charles Hayes47450.030.47-0.440.12-36-916.015.50.4515.816.2-0.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.75,0.69,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.97,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 111, MIL 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.52,0.55,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.58,189.6%
HOU 99, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,189.4%
SAC 112, UTA 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.6,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.92,188.3%