NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	10.9 [46]		MVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): +56.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	3.3 [658]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -41.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4	0.23	0.18	0.01	23	69%	0.40	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	14	68%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	82%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.03
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	14	37%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.23,-0.28,-0.36,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.49,-0.49,-0.42	-0.14	-0.27	0.00	22	35%	-0.28	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.56	0.56	0.09	0.42	-0.05	12	71%	0.64	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.12
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.01	14	56%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	14	68%	0.28	4	-0.15	10	80%	-0.07
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	4	58%	-0.03	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.09
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.02	-0.37	-0.03	15	50%	-0.11	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.8	15.6	23.2	2.4	37.4	1.7	20.7	156.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +47.2%

MIL +9.7%

MIL +19.3%

DAL -29.8%

MIL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.6	112.1	114.1	104.4
season	16.4	15.5		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		106.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.2	16.5	16.7	16.5	14.8	16.3
MIL	15.8	14.8	16.8	17.0	13.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	51	52	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.19	8	-10	18	15.4	17.2	-1.80	15.9	15.7	0.26
DeSagana Diop	47	46	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.16	5	-7	12	15.6	17.0	-1.39	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Josh Powell	17	16	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-10	18	15.8	16.4	-0.58	19.5	15.1	4.39
Marquis Daniels	80	81	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	16.7	14.7	2.00	16.2	14.1	2.09
Darrell Armstrong	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	0	-2	11.8	16.6	-4.76	11.2	16.1	-4.95
Dirk Nowitzki	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-7	12	15.9	19.0	-3.10	16.0	14.9	1.03
Jason Terry	94	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.6	10.8	5.80	16.2	9.4	6.76
Devin Harris	63	63	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.46	-18	16	-34	17.0	15.1	1.92	14.0	18.9	-4.91
Erick Dampier	51	51	-1.39	0.89	-2.29	-1.01	-13	11	-24	17.2	15.3	1.88	16.5	15.1	1.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	75	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.51	2	0	2	16.4	14.0	2.40	16.4	16.0	0.36
T.J. Ford	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	15.9	15.1	0.79	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Bobby Simmons	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	1	0	16.4	13.6	2.85	15.8	18.1	-2.25
Mo Williams	67	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	15.5	16.6	-1.10	16.4	16.0	0.43
Jamaal Magloire	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	6	-10	16.9	14.2	2.76	16.3	16.3	0.07
Charlie Bell	49	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	0	2	15.8	15.9	-0.12	16.1	16.5	-0.48
Jiri Welsch	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	14.5	16.2	-1.69	16.4	16.3	0.11
Toni Kukoc	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	-3	8	13.5	17.1	-3.64	16.7	16.1	0.64
Dan Gadzuric	22	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	4	-6	14.7	16.1	-1.46	17.1	16.1	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.52,0.55,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,1	90.5%
MIL 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.75,0.69,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.97,0.95,1	89.6%
ATL 84, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	89.4%