NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	6.8 [469]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +32.0%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	2.0 [638]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -16.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.32	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.14	0.18	-0.01	20	66%	0.37	3	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	8	63%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.04	17	37%	0.01	7	-0.18	4	75%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.22	-0.05	0.06	29	62%	0.19	2	-0.08	15	87%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	13	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.7	35.0	15.8	27.1	2.5	40.2	143.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +52.3%

IND -0.7%

OKC +9.9%

IND -18.2%

OKC +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	IND	NBA	OKC	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.9	112.7	109.9	105.1
season	14.4	14.6		111.5	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	12.8	15.0	16.0	14.6
IND	15.3	12.9	12.7	14.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-3	10	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.4	13.0	1.37
Enes Kanter	50	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-9	22	15.1	14.0	1.06	13.6	14.0	-0.33
Randy Foye	63	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-5	14	14.9	13.9	0.99	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Kevin Durant	80	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	0	4	14.2	15.8	-1.61	14.2	12.5	1.68
Russell Westbrook	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	6	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.58	13.6	14.4	-0.74
Anthony Morrow	14	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-1	6	15.5	14.4	1.09	16.2	13.4	2.90
Dion Waiters	39	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	14.9	14.3	0.55	12.6	14.5	-1.96
Cameron Payne	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	1	2	15.1	14.4	0.68	14.2	13.7	0.48
Steven Adams	55	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	13	-22	14.1	15.0	-0.90	14.2	13.4	0.82
Serge Ibaka	50	52	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	14	-24	14.3	14.8	-0.43	12.9	14.8	-1.83

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	68	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-8	12	14.0	13.4	0.58	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Ian Mahinmi	73	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-14	24	13.4	14.9	-1.50	14.8	13.7	1.11
Solomon Hill	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	2	-8	13.4	14.0	-0.55	16.1	14.0	2.18
Lavoy Allen	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	1	-6	16.3	13.2	3.08	14.7	14.5	0.24
George Hill	79	82	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	8	-12	20	13.5	15.0	-1.46	14.6	14.5	0.07
Jordan Hill	18	16	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	7	-18	14.2	13.7	0.50	13.9	14.7	-0.74
Rodney Stuckey	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	8	-20	15.2	13.2	1.97	14.5	14.6	-0.01
CJ Miles	14	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	4	-12	12.0	14.1	-2.10	11.6	15.0	-3.46
Paul George	84	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-8	12	13.8	13.9	-0.08	14.7	13.8	0.89
Monta Ellis	91	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	13.6	15.6	-1.98	14.5	14.6	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.8%
NYK 114, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.5%
POR 116, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.1%