NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	6.4 [512]		MVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): +21.6%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	2.0 [84]		LVP	Marcus Landry (NYK): -5.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.03	-0.01	16	74%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	10	67%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Al Harrington	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.00	17	71%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.01	17	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	2	57%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.04	9	78%	0.12	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Landry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.03	24	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	53%	0.02	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	17	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	11	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	29.1	15.6	27.2	2.5	31.5	132.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +80.0%

NYK +1.5%

ATL -7.7%

ATL -21.9%

ATL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.3	126.7	123.0	106.0
season	14.7	16.0		105.9	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	16.7	16.7	15.8	15.9
ATL	15.4	21.2	13.9	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	69	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-5	17	15.6	16.7	-1.08	17.2	14.9	2.32
David Lee	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	0	7	16.0	14.8	1.22	16.4	18.7	-2.30
Wilson Chandler	85	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	16.0	14.4	1.58	16.5	18.6	-2.05
Toney Douglas	21	20	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	0	7	15.8	15.9	-0.10	18.3	16.2	2.12
Al Harrington	75	71	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	6	-5	16.0	15.5	0.51	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Chris Duhon	69	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	7	-7	15.9	15.8	0.10	16.2	18.3	-2.12
Marcus Landry	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.86	19.2	16.3	2.86
Jared Jeffries	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.9	15.9	-0.05	16.5	16.8	-0.37

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	25	26	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-12	17	15.8	17.0	-1.22	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Jeff Teague	4	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	11.7	16.9	-5.15	10.0	16.2	-6.16
Mike Bibby	59	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-12	17	16.5	17.0	-0.44	16.5	14.6	1.92
Zaza Pachulia	26	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.4	16.3	1.08	16.9	15.4	1.46
Joe Smith	7	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	4	-15	21.9	16.2	5.64	13.9	16.1	-2.22
Al Horford	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-11	15	16.1	19.8	-3.72	16.3	14.1	2.19
Joe Johnson	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	16.5	18.6	-2.07	16.3	11.5	4.82
Maurice Evans	32	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	8	-23	17.6	16.1	1.42	14.0	16.8	-2.78
Jamal Crawford	57	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	3	-13	16.5	17.0	-0.51	16.4	14.8	1.63
Marvin Williams	72	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	4	-15	17.1	14.5	2.58	15.2	19.3	-4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	92.5%
OKC 115, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0	92.5%
WAS 97, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.01,0	91.7%