NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	116		Excitement	7.3 [398]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +36.7%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	3.9 [420]		LVP	Shane Larkin (BKN): -24.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.21	0.20	0.04	24	65%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	12	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	6	87%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Meyers Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	15	43%	-0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	7	61%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	7	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	94%	0.18	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	17	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	29.6	14.8	21.9	2.0	32.0	123.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.0%

BKN -12.2%

POR +1.0%

POR +7.3%

BKN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	14.9	123.4	111.8	105.1
season	15.0	15.0		107.1	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.6		109.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.0	14.0	14.6	14.8	15.2
BKN	19.9	13.7	16.1	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	50	49	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.09	24	-12	36	14.2	16.3	-2.07	15.3	16.0	-0.61
Allen Crabbe	54	53	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-11	34	14.3	16.4	-2.14	15.8	15.3	0.50
Damian Lillard	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	2	8	15.9	13.2	2.69	16.1	14.2	1.94
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	6	0	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.4	16.2	-0.80
CJ McCollum	70	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	5	2	15.2	15.0	0.17	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Meyers Leonard	45	43	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	3	6	14.2	16.1	-1.86	15.6	15.7	-0.14
Maurice Harkless	31	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.13	6	6	0	14.9	15.3	-0.40	16.4	15.3	1.18
Gerald Henderson	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	13	-14	14.7	15.3	-0.57	12.9	16.2	-3.37
Pat Connaughton	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	8.0	15.3	-7.33	9.0	15.7	-6.71
Tim Frazier	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	8.0	15.3	-7.33	9.0	15.7	-6.71
Noah Vonleh	28	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	21	-30	16.9	14.5	2.40	17.5	14.8	2.72
Mason Plumlee	41	41	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.06	-15	27	-42	16.8	13.9	2.86	16.3	15.1	1.13

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	63	62	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-21	30	15.9	15.2	0.69	16.4	12.8	3.53
Brook Lopez	55	53	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-18	24	15.2	16.2	-0.97	16.0	14.1	1.82
Thaddeus Young	65	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-15	18	15.8	15.3	0.45	15.9	13.5	2.44
Wayne Ellington	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-13	14	16.5	13.8	2.68	16.3	12.8	3.48
Donald Sloan	61	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-17	22	15.4	16.1	-0.75	16.5	12.7	3.86
Markel Brown	15	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	13.1	16.1	-2.98	13.6	15.5	-1.86
Sergey Karasev	12	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	1	-14	14.8	15.8	-0.92	11.4	15.8	-4.39
Shane Larkin	32	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	5	-22	16.1	15.4	0.75	12.7	16.5	-3.86
Andrea Bargnani	27	27	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	3	-18	15.6	15.7	-0.11	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Thomas Robinson	38	41	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	6	-24	16.2	15.2	0.97	14.1	16.0	-1.82
Bojan Bogdanovic	33	35	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	6	-24	14.8	16.1	-1.27	12.7	16.6	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 126, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.34,0.18,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%
OKC 115, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0	91.1%
DAL 122, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0	91.0%