NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	8.5 [204]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +27.1%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	25.3 [100]		LVP	Langston Galloway (NYK): -15.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.27	0.10	0.18	0.01	27	54%	0.31	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	11	77%	0.26	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jerian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.06	0.03	15	74%	0.25	0	0.00	13	92%	0.06
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.01	10	45%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.15	0.00	19	52%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	19	48%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	27.4	15.6	25.7	2.4	31.2	128.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +16.6%

NYK -2.2%

BOS +20.3%

BOS +3.5%

BOS +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	17.3	12.3	14.9	107.2	107.1	105.1
season	15.6	13.9		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	17.0	17.9	17.9	17.3
BOS	13.1	13.5	10.9	11.6	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	15	16	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.02	8	-9	17	17.0	17.4	-0.35	12.0	12.3	-0.32
Kristaps Porzingis	42	46	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-9	17	16.7	17.8	-1.12	12.5	12.1	0.40
Jerian Grant	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.6	17.5	-1.92	9.9	12.5	-2.60
Jose Calderon	76	79	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-6	11	17.3	17.1	0.20	12.3	12.3	-0.06
Derrick Williams	10	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	7	-15	17.2	17.3	-0.11	11.1	12.4	-1.30
Langston Galloway	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	0	-1	17.0	17.7	-0.70	11.7	12.9	-1.15
Lance Thomas	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-6	11	17.1	17.5	-0.39	11.5	13.5	-1.92
Carmelo Anthony	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	17.7	15.2	2.57	12.5	11.2	1.28
Arron Afflalo	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	4	-9	17.4	16.8	0.63	12.8	10.1	2.72
Robin Lopez	66	62	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.41	-14	13	-27	17.7	16.5	1.15	12.9	11.2	1.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	55	55	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.57	12	-11	23	12.0	12.6	-0.52	18.0	16.4	1.58
Avery Bradley	69	68	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.54	7	-6	13	12.4	11.9	0.47	17.5	16.7	0.82
Jae Crowder	69	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-6	13	12.7	11.2	1.50	17.7	16.4	1.31
Isaiah Thomas	71	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-4	9	11.9	13.1	-1.17	17.7	16.0	1.67
Evan Turner	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	11.9	12.9	-0.97	17.0	17.9	-0.91
Marcus Smart	59	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	1	-1	11.6	13.2	-1.56	17.0	17.8	-0.81
Amir Johnson	27	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	12	-23	14.8	11.3	3.47	17.2	17.3	-0.19
Jonas Jerebko	34	34	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.09	-8	9	-17	12.3	12.3	-0.00	16.5	17.7	-1.23
Tyler Zeller	41	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.12	-7	8	-15	11.9	12.5	-0.62	16.2	18.0	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	91.4%
MIL 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,1	90.8%
TOR 109, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.37,1	90.8%