NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	10.8 [43]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (GSW): +30.5%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	2.8 [522]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -25.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.01	9	68%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Mike Scott	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	61%	0.09	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.07
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,0,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	17	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.07
Al Horford	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.03	-0.22	0.00	16	53%	-0.04	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.16	0.16	0.02	9	86%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	27	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.11
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	15	48%	0.14	5	-0.25	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	0.2	27.2	15.4	21.7	1.7	34.4	2.3	18.3	148.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -16.6%

GSW +12.6%

GSW +55.9%

GSW +3.4%

ATL -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	14.9	102.9	104.8	105.1
season	14.2	13.7		104.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.6	15.8	15.1	14.5	13.3	14.8
GSW	13.6	16.2	16.2	18.3	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	4	5	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-9	14	14.7	14.8	-0.09	18.6	15.9	2.70
Tim Hardaway Jr.	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	2	-8	13.7	15.4	-1.67	16.2	15.9	0.30
Thabo Sefolosha	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-4	4	13.9	15.4	-1.50	17.8	15.0	2.77
Mike Scott	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.9	-0.13	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Jeff Teague	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	15.8	14.0	1.73	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Dennis Schroder	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-2	0	14.0	15.8	-1.73	16.9	15.0	1.91
Kyle Korver	64	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-8	12	15.5	13.6	1.92	15.3	17.4	-2.14
Paul Millsap	76	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-5	6	15.2	13.7	1.48	16.4	14.9	1.45
Kent Bazemore	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	15.2	14.0	1.25	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Al Horford	83	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	5	-14	14.5	16.2	-1.63	15.6	17.7	-2.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	81	79	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-5	14	16.0	16.0	-0.02	15.5	12.6	2.87
Draymond Green	83	82	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-6	16	15.4	18.6	-3.19	15.0	14.0	1.04
Shaun Livingston	68	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-5	14	16.0	16.1	-0.08	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Andrew Bogut	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-7	18	15.6	16.6	-0.93	15.5	14.0	1.48
Klay Thompson	75	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	2	0	16.2	15.6	0.66	15.4	13.4	1.94
Marreese Speights	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	3	-2	14.5	16.6	-2.09	13.3	15.4	-2.04
Anderson Varejao	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	20.4	15.7	4.71	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Ian Clark	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	8	-12	15.1	16.4	-1.35	15.1	14.7	0.33
Leandro Barbosa	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.10	1	3	-2	16.5	15.8	0.73	13.7	15.4	-1.75
James Michael McAdoo	9	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	12	-20	19.4	15.7	3.74	16.5	14.7	1.81
Brandon Rush	44	43	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.13	-11	15	-26	17.2	15.1	2.12	13.3	16.0	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.53,0.85,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.57,0.98,1	88.8%
NOH 104, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	88.6%
DET 101, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.98,1	88.1%