inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 105 Excitement8.7 [146] MVPRay Allen (BOS): +37.6%
Boston Celtics 110 Comeback2.0 [759] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -23.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.150.160.000.011372%0.242-0.0910100%0.07
CJ Watson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.080.002125%0.1400.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.00470%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Luol Deng0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.22,-0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09-0.040.11-0.031950%0.304-0.212100%0.01
Kyle Korver0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08-0.010.090.00550%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00350%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Omer Asik-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.032-0.0700%0.00
James Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0040%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Taj Gibson-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.08-0.140.031464%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.100.011945%0.086-0.312100%0.05

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.38,0.380.380.190.210.021289%0.453-0.084100%0.04
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.07-0.00680%0.1700.00367%-0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.040.00681%0.151-0.04475%-0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.06-0.010.06-0.001054%0.092-0.04887%-0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.011744%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.030.00750%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,00.00-0.090.08-0.011433%0.061-0.062100%0.01
Von Wafer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Semih Erden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.000100%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.13-0.011050%0.084-0.2700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.63.035.120.526.02.837.02.714.4168.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.4%
BOS +1.5%
CHI -18.2%
BOS +23.4%
BOS +17.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIBOSNBACHIBOSNBA
this game14.915.915.5101.0106.8105.7
season15.715.7106.5104.8
opponent15.815.999.699.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI13.416.315.615.412.714.9
BOS16.115.017.116.613.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Watson13130.27-0.771.050.193-81114.814.9-0.1119.515.34.21
Keith Bogans44430.25-0.751.000.105-101515.114.70.4716.415.50.95
Omer Asik23230.19-0.690.880.103-81114.814.9-0.1116.315.70.57
Ronnie Brewer31280.13-0.630.750.014-91315.614.61.0214.716.3-1.63
Kurt Thomas33-0.12-0.380.270.03-50-518.714.83.9113.015.9-2.95
Brian Scalabrine55-0.14-0.360.230.07-72-913.814.9-1.1218.815.73.09
James Johnson1010-0.23-0.270.040.09-116-1714.714.9-0.1817.715.72.03
Joakim Noah9796-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-81114.815.6-0.7615.915.60.31
Luol Deng8584-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-1-4314.715.4-0.6815.417.7-2.30
Taj Gibson8079-0.630.13-0.76-0.51-4-1-314.914.80.0415.616.6-0.99
Kyle Korver3841-0.660.16-0.82-0.45-72-914.315.2-0.9116.515.41.08
Derrick Rose9190-0.770.27-1.05-0.54-83-1114.914.80.1115.319.5-4.21

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce83840.59-0.090.680.4450515.716.6-0.9814.715.7-1.10
Kevin Garnett77780.58-0.080.670.4450515.417.2-1.7814.815.0-0.18
Glen Davis72730.450.050.400.4505-515.915.9-0.0114.814.9-0.05
Rajon Rondo68690.170.33-0.16-0.099-41315.516.5-0.9815.513.61.86
Marquis Daniels36380.150.35-0.21-0.1811-61715.915.80.0815.314.60.75
Von Wafer660.130.37-0.23-0.046-1717.815.72.0915.714.80.85
Ray Allen81800.130.37-0.240.48-1217-2915.915.80.1214.815.1-0.28
Semih Erden19190.030.47-0.43-0.0223-117.315.51.7214.614.9-0.29
Jermaine O'Neal3838-0.070.57-0.64-0.1632116.115.70.3415.114.70.38
Nate Robinson2324-0.170.67-0.840.09-914-2318.215.22.9714.015.1-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.53,0.85,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.57,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 105, GSW 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.68,0.73,188.8%
MIL 103, LAL 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.84,188.3%
NYK 104, CHH 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.96,188.1%