NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	5.0 [827]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +13.2%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.0 [1196]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -9.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	13	69%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	43%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.07	-0.04	21	54%	0.18	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	10	91%	0.18	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	67%	0.16	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	31.5	15.5	31.5	2.3	34.5	144.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.5%

BOS +7.5%

BOS +9.3%

MIL -0.5%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	13.6	14.9	102.9	106.7	105.1
season	14.8	13.9		102.8	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		101.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	13.1	15.2	13.0	14.0
BOS	12.6	11.7	14.8	15.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	18	19	0.10	-0.59	0.69	-0.23	11	-16	27	11.1	14.6	-3.50	11.6	14.0	-2.41
Rashad Vaughn	30	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-10	15	13.6	14.1	-0.49	11.9	14.3	-2.42
Tyler Ennis	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	15.2	13.8	1.38	11.1	13.9	-2.81
O.J. Mayo	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-3	1	14.8	13.3	1.51	14.3	13.2	1.09
Johnny O'Bryant	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	2	-9	18.2	13.6	4.66	12.0	13.7	-1.74
Miles Plumlee	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	14.1	13.9	0.20	12.1	14.3	-2.18
Greg Monroe	71	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-9	13	13.9	14.1	-0.20	14.3	12.1	2.18
Michael Carter-Williams	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.11	14.5	11.9	2.53
Jabari Parker	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	14.0	13.7	0.32	13.8	13.1	0.68
Khris Middleton	91	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	13.7	15.4	-1.64	13.8	12.2	1.57
Giannis Antetokounmpo	66	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	9	-23	14.2	13.6	0.63	13.8	13.3	0.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-7	19	13.4	14.2	-0.83	13.5	15.0	-1.47
Jae Crowder	53	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-11	27	12.5	14.7	-2.26	14.3	13.6	0.63
Jared Sullinger	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-4	13	14.5	12.1	2.40	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Avery Bradley	88	87	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	6	-7	14.1	11.3	2.76	13.6	15.9	-2.31
Amir Johnson	56	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-3	11	12.9	14.4	-1.50	14.9	12.9	2.00
Marcus Smart	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	11	-17	14.4	12.8	1.63	14.2	13.7	0.40
Evan Turner	68	67	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	13.5	13.9	-0.44	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Tyler Zeller	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	11.7	13.9	-2.27	14.5	13.9	0.60
RJ Hunter	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	9	-13	11.9	13.8	-1.88	15.7	13.8	1.95
Jonas Jerebko	46	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	13	-21	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.1	13.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,1,0.98,1	95.6%
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	94.7%
OKC 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%