inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement3.2 [1178] MVPMarcin Gortat (WAS): +10.2%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback1.0 [873] LVPMarcus Morris (DET): -11.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.000.041281%0.112-0.022100%0.01
Aron Baynes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01367%0.0400.0030%-0.00
Steve Blake0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01462%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.031042%0.011-0.02650%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01650%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00550%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.051117%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.011843%-0.013-0.071100%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.010.031236%-0.062-0.0510%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.021062%0.111-0.01475%-0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.011074%0.101-0.02333%-0.02
John Wall0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011758%0.112-0.044100%0.01
Otto Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.03779%0.0600.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03847%0.0500.003100%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02750%0.031-0.01667%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jarell Eddie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.03833%-0.002-0.042100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.01533%-0.051-0.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.427.616.626.32.529.5128.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +33.7%
WAS +2.2%
DET -0.5%
WAS +9.5%
WAS +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETWASNBADETWASNBA
this game16.115.214.993.5106.5105.1
season15.013.8104.9104.1
opponent15.115.1104.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.014.517.815.116.1
WAS13.615.514.317.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes28290.06-0.560.63-0.2912-243614.816.6-1.8215.315.20.14
Reggie Bullock560.00-0.500.50-0.124-162011.016.4-5.3815.315.20.12
Darrun Hilliard560.00-0.500.50-0.124-162011.016.4-5.3815.315.20.12
Steve Blake3334-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-131415.316.5-1.2214.215.8-1.65
Anthony Tolliver3637-0.18-0.320.13-0.07-4-8416.116.1-0.0514.515.7-1.27
Tobias Harris5756-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-6016.415.50.8815.514.70.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6162-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-1-1016.415.41.0615.315.10.22
Marcus Morris6866-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-8-4-416.315.40.9115.813.81.97
Stanley Johnson4443-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-153-1816.016.2-0.2114.515.9-1.41
Reggie Jackson5958-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-131-1416.515.31.2215.814.21.65
Andre Drummond6463-0.560.06-0.630.14-2412-3616.614.81.8215.215.3-0.14

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter59580.66-0.160.82-0.1929-174615.115.5-0.4216.814.82.00
John Wall64650.54-0.040.59-0.1624-123615.315.00.2616.515.11.33
Marcin Gortat54550.52-0.020.55-0.0921-93015.614.70.9516.715.21.50
Jared Dudley48490.400.100.30-0.0114-21615.515.00.5016.615.51.04
Bradley Beal49500.240.26-0.020.0666015.415.00.5016.615.51.08
Markieff Morris44430.100.40-0.300.16-214-1615.015.5-0.5015.516.6-1.04
Garrett Temple58580.100.40-0.310.15-214-1615.215.3-0.1216.415.60.74
Drew Gooden650.000.50-0.500.12-416-2015.315.20.1211.016.4-5.38
Jarell Eddie650.000.50-0.500.12-416-2015.315.20.1211.016.4-5.38
Kelly Oubre650.000.50-0.500.12-416-2015.315.20.1211.016.4-5.38
Nene3232-0.020.52-0.550.12-517-2214.515.6-1.0515.816.2-0.37
Ramon Sessions3435-0.040.54-0.580.34-1325-3815.015.3-0.3014.417.1-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 72, MIA 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MIN 73, SAS 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
SAC 103, ORL 1140.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.3%