NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	73		Excitement	2.9 [1230]		MVP	Robert Horry (SAS): +14.4%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -10.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	69%	0.08	6	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	49%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	15	35%	-0.07	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.02	12	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	21	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	15	35%	0.01	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.8	31.3	17.7	30.2	3.5	28.4	137.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.7%

MIN -4.5%

SAS +0.4%

SAS +19.2%

MIN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.5	85.9	104.7	104.0
season	15.8	16.3		106.2	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		98.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.5	16.8	15.3	15.6	16.8
SAS	14.8	17.5	19.0	17.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.20	9	-25	34	16.0	17.3	-1.33	18.5	16.2	2.22
Sam Cassell	18	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	17.7	16.6	1.10	18.1	16.8	1.23
Eddie Griffin	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-23	30	16.6	17.0	-0.40	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Anthony Carter	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-15	14	15.2	17.4	-2.18	17.5	16.9	0.62
Wally Szczerbiak	51	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-15	14	16.3	17.5	-1.17	17.0	17.2	-0.20
Trenton Hassell	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-2	-12	17.2	16.3	0.97	17.2	16.9	0.24
Troy Hudson	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	1	-18	17.2	16.3	0.94	16.5	17.8	-1.31
Michael Olowokandi	43	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.15	-20	4	-24	17.6	16.0	1.63	16.2	18.0	-1.77
Latrell Sprewell	66	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	4	-24	16.7	17.1	-0.39	17.5	15.6	1.87
Kevin Garnett	59	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.15	-25	9	-34	17.0	16.4	0.54	16.6	18.2	-1.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-9	34	16.4	19.4	-3.01	17.0	15.9	1.09
Bruce Bowen	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-5	26	17.5	15.4	2.03	17.0	15.9	1.13
Tim Duncan	62	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-3	22	17.1	17.0	0.05	17.3	15.4	1.88
Brent Barry	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	5	6	17.3	15.9	1.41	17.3	14.8	2.45
Robert Horry	39	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	3	10	16.5	17.5	-1.01	16.1	17.3	-1.23
Rasho Nesterovic	25	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	8	0	17.8	16.8	0.96	17.0	16.7	0.29
Devin Brown	53	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	19	-22	17.2	16.9	0.28	15.6	18.7	-3.10
Mike Wilks	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	14.2	17.3	-3.06	17.0	16.8	0.21
Nazr Mohammed	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	20	-24	15.6	17.5	-1.87	17.1	16.7	0.39
Beno Udrih	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	25	-34	19.3	16.5	2.79	15.9	17.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 100, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 86, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%