NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	74		Excitement	2.9 [1198]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +11.5%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.0 [1152]		LVP	P.J. Brown (CHI): -5.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Hassan Adams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	10	30%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	22	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	-0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	16	65%	0.13	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	18	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	20	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.0	15.6	27.2	2.4	26.6	128.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.6%

CHI +1.2%

CHI +8.9%

CHI +8.8%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.4	79.6	115.4	104.5
season	15.4	14.5		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.1	13.6	15.0	15.8	15.6
CHI	13.2	15.2	18.5	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-25	19	14.1	16.5	-2.39	16.6	15.2	1.41
Hassan Adams	50	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-26	21	13.7	17.8	-4.07	16.7	14.6	2.06
Marcus Williams	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.30	-12	-19	7	15.4	15.8	-0.35	15.5	15.9	-0.48
Jason Collins	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-26	21	17.5	15.0	2.43	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Bostjan Nachbar	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.32	-19	-12	-7	16.2	14.8	1.47	15.9	15.4	0.50
Mikki Moore	36	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-11	-9	15.9	15.4	0.51	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Richard Jefferson	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-12	-7	15.7	15.5	0.17	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Antoine Wright	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.52	-31	0	-31	16.7	14.0	2.75	15.2	16.4	-1.14
Jason Kidd	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-15	-1	15.3	16.1	-0.72	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Vince Carter	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	-9	-13	15.9	15.1	0.82	15.8	15.6	0.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	5	21	16.0	14.8	1.23	16.1	14.1	1.96
Kirk Hinrich	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.42	31	0	31	15.9	14.4	1.51	16.3	12.6	3.69
Luol Deng	62	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	9	13	16.0	15.0	1.08	16.6	13.4	3.23
P.J. Brown	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	18	-5	16.1	15.2	0.88	15.0	16.3	-1.22
Malik Allen	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.42	25	6	19	15.0	16.4	-1.42	17.0	14.2	2.85
Chris Duhon	54	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.33	21	10	11	15.4	16.1	-0.64	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Thabo Sefolosha	70	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	15	1	15.6	16.0	-0.32	15.7	15.2	0.45
Andre Barrett	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	30	-29	14.7	15.8	-1.15	10.7	16.1	-5.46
Viktor Khryapa	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	30	-29	14.7	15.8	-1.15	10.7	16.1	-5.46
Michael Sweetney	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	32	-33	14.7	15.8	-1.13	10.2	16.3	-6.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 81, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SEA 92, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIA 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%