NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	77		Excitement	3.0 [1167]		MVP	Gary Payton (LAL): +3.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.0 [1208]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -10.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Loren Woods	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	15	49%	-0.01	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	5	21%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	14	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	-0.03	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	16	94%	0.03
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	61%	0.00	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	11	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	-0.03	4	-0.08	8	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	34.4	16.3	36.4	2.4	25.5	145.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.4%

LAL +13.2%

LAL +5.4%

LAL +0.5%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAL	NBA	MIA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	15.7	75.5	98.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.4		99.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.7	14.4	15.1	14.8	15.0
LAL	11.0	15.0	14.3	13.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Beasley	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	13.5	15.1	-1.59	9.5	13.6	-4.11
Bimbo Coles	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-22	22	10.0	15.1	-5.10	22.0	13.3	8.72
Loren Woods	27	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.21	-8	-14	6	15.9	14.7	1.26	14.8	12.9	1.89
John Wallace	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-23	24	12.6	15.6	-2.92	13.8	13.3	0.50
Rafer Alston	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-16	10	14.0	16.6	-2.61	14.0	12.4	1.52
Caron Butler	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-14	6	14.7	15.5	-0.80	13.6	13.1	0.45
Tyrone Hill	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-22	22	13.8	15.4	-1.64	14.7	12.9	1.80
Brian Grant	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-8	-6	15.1	14.9	0.24	12.0	14.7	-2.79
Dwyane Wade	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-5	-12	16.0	13.9	2.08	12.8	14.0	-1.17
Lamar Odom	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-13	4	15.0	15.0	0.05	13.6	12.9	0.70
Udonis Haslem	76	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-3	-16	15.9	12.4	3.46	13.4	13.3	0.15
Eddie Jones	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	5	-32	15.5	14.3	1.16	12.9	14.0	-1.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	60	63	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	3	16	13.2	13.7	-0.49	15.6	14.0	1.62
Gary Payton	58	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	4	14	13.0	13.9	-0.94	15.8	13.9	1.88
Devean George	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	0	22	13.5	13.2	0.32	16.3	13.9	2.39
Kobe Bryant	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	1	20	14.0	12.1	1.93	16.2	12.8	3.43
Shaquille O'Neal	50	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	6	10	12.3	14.4	-2.03	15.7	14.2	1.49
Derek Fisher	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	18	-14	14.6	12.2	2.30	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Horace Grant	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	18	-14	14.9	12.5	2.49	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Kareem Rush	46	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	17	-12	12.7	13.9	-1.27	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Jannero Pargo	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	17	-12	9.2	13.9	-4.70	12.8	15.2	-2.44
Jamal Sampson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	14.3	13.2	1.07	13.8	15.2	-1.32
Luke Walton	34	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	13.2	13.5	-0.29	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Bryon Russell	35	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	27	-32	13.1	13.5	-0.43	12.6	16.3	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAL 94, SAS 134	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%