NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	2.6 [1230]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +21.7%
San Antonio Spurs	134		Comeback	1.0 [1300]		LVP	Timofey Mozgov (LAL): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	13	67%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	11	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.30	0.00	0.09	13	89%	0.22	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	-0.00	0.07	9	96%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	32.4	15.4	28.4	2.4	24.4	131.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.6%

SAS +11.3%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +0.1%

SAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.8	97.9	138.1	107.7
season	14.5	15.4		104.8	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.4		103.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	15.4	14.4	16.7	15.3
SAS	14.6	14.0	14.4	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	36	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-41	42	14.5	15.8	-1.28	14.9	14.3	0.51
Jordan Clarkson	52	51	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-29	18	14.2	16.6	-2.46	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Jose Calderon	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-36	32	16.4	15.2	1.17	16.8	14.3	2.46
Marcelo Huertas	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.35	-12	-28	16	15.3	15.3	0.03	14.8	14.4	0.40
Ivica Zubac	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.35	-12	-28	16	15.3	15.3	0.03	14.8	14.4	0.40
Tarik Black	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-34	28	14.2	16.1	-1.85	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Brandon Ingram	63	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.25	-11	-29	18	14.3	17.1	-2.77	15.0	13.7	1.24
Thomas Robinson	16	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.23	-15	-25	10	17.4	14.9	2.56	15.2	14.4	0.83
Timofey Mozgov	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-29	18	17.9	14.7	3.18	15.6	14.3	1.35
Julius Randle	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.45	-30	-10	-20	15.7	14.3	1.35	14.3	15.2	-0.99
Nick Young	29	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.28	-26	-14	-12	16.3	14.9	1.49	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Luol Deng	41	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.26	-27	-13	-14	15.7	15.0	0.66	14.4	14.7	-0.31
D'Angelo Russell	53	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.50	-36	-4	-32	15.8	14.7	1.18	14.1	15.1	-1.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	54	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	13	14	14.4	14.8	-0.44	15.4	15.2	0.28
Pau Gasol	52	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.39	29	11	18	14.5	14.6	-0.02	15.8	14.8	0.96
Danny Green	48	47	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	19	2	14.5	14.6	-0.13	15.9	14.7	1.16
LaMarcus Aldridge	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	19	2	14.8	14.3	0.44	15.5	15.1	0.41
Tony Parker	43	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	23	-6	15.1	14.1	0.98	16.0	14.7	1.30
Patty Mills	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.26	15	25	-10	13.1	15.4	-2.24	13.6	16.4	-2.85
David Lee	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	29	-18	13.3	15.1	-1.80	13.9	16.0	-2.09
Manu Ginobili	19	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	33	-26	14.7	14.5	0.24	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Jonathon Simmons	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.33	14	26	-12	14.5	14.6	-0.12	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Kyle Anderson	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.40	14	26	-12	14.5	14.6	-0.02	15.5	15.2	0.25
Dejounte Murray	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	32	-24	16.1	14.2	1.85	17.4	14.9	2.49
Dewayne Dedmon	41	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.27	9	31	-22	15.0	14.2	0.74	15.2	15.4	-0.11
Davis Bertans	21	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.22	7	33	-26	15.7	14.2	1.43	17.1	14.9	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NJN 91, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%