NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	2.4 [1196]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +5.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.0 [1149]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -8.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	68%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Bruno Sundov	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	4	79%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	70%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	2	17%	-0.04	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	43%	-0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	63%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	15	70%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	70%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	17	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.08	11	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	38%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.4	29.4	15.7	23.3	2.4	24.8	121.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.6%

MIL +3.3%

MIL +12.2%

MIL +17.4%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.5	91.4	113.0	100.9
season	15.9	14.9		99.3	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.4	15.6	17.3	15.7	16.3
MIL	12.4	17.1	12.7	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-30	41	16.5	16.2	0.31	18.6	12.7	5.89
Jonathan Bender	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-16	13	16.5	16.1	0.48	15.1	14.6	0.51
Bruno Sundov	27	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.22	-11	-8	-3	17.5	15.8	1.66	12.7	15.6	-2.89
Zan Tabak	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-26	33	14.8	17.1	-2.32	16.5	14.0	2.55
Al Harrington	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-21	23	15.7	17.5	-1.77	16.5	11.1	5.35
Jeff Foster	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-24	29	14.6	17.8	-3.20	16.1	13.7	2.47
Derrick McKey	17	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-6	-7	17.2	16.1	1.07	10.7	15.6	-4.89
Jermaine O'Neal	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.39	-24	5	-29	17.8	14.6	3.20	13.7	16.1	-2.47
Jalen Rose	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.29	-23	4	-27	17.0	15.5	1.52	13.2	16.7	-3.52
Travis Best	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	3	-25	15.9	16.8	-0.87	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Reggie Miller	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.25	-24	5	-29	16.4	16.2	0.15	13.2	16.7	-3.51

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.39	31	-12	43	13.9	18.0	-4.12	16.9	14.5	2.42
Glenn Robinson	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.42	32	-13	45	13.0	18.7	-5.75	16.5	16.0	0.50
Sam Cassell	53	55	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.23	24	-5	29	14.0	15.9	-1.90	16.4	16.1	0.29
Scott Williams	43	43	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.50	33	-14	47	12.2	17.1	-4.91	17.8	15.0	2.81
Mark Pope	59	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	2	15	14.3	15.7	-1.36	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Ervin Johnson	22	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	20	-21	16.1	14.4	1.66	16.4	16.3	0.13
Tim Thomas	54	55	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	26	-33	16.4	12.6	3.78	15.5	17.5	-1.98
Lindsey Hunter	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	27	-35	16.4	13.1	3.37	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Joel Przybilla	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	20.7	14.6	6.19	17.0	16.3	0.74
Rafer Alston	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	17.5	14.5	3.09	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Jerome Kersey	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.37	-13	32	-45	18.6	12.8	5.82	15.7	16.6	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NJN 91, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%