NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	3.2 [1108]		MVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): +7.1%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	1.2 [1186]		LVP	Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): -7.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Gamble	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.17	-0.01	0.13	19	79%	0.12	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Lionel Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	19	60%	0.08	2	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	92%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	68%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	70%	0.07	3	-0.04	13	77%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	11	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	26.4	16.7	28.7	2.5	30.5	132.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.9%

ORL +8.6%

SAC -3.1%

ORL +17.0%

ORL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.6	113.2	126.7	104.4
season	15.4	16.4		102.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	14.1	18.3	15.0	15.9
ORL	13.8	15.3	16.0	19.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Simmons	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	16.6	15.8	0.77	19.0	15.7	3.33
Kevin Gamble	35	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-18	25	15.8	15.9	-0.05	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Tyus Edney	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-15	19	14.8	17.5	-2.65	17.1	14.1	2.92
Brian Grant	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.9	14.9	1.99	17.6	14.4	3.18
Corliss Williamson	49	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	15.0	16.9	-1.95	16.4	15.5	0.91
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-1	-9	19.2	14.5	4.73	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Michael Smith	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-2	-7	16.0	15.5	0.45	15.3	17.7	-2.37
Billy Owens	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	3	-17	15.3	16.6	-1.24	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Olden Polynice	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	2	-15	15.2	16.7	-1.42	15.2	17.1	-1.88
Mitch Richmond	68	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	8	-27	16.0	15.3	0.74	15.5	17.3	-1.73

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-5	21	15.4	18.4	-2.94	16.3	13.9	2.38
Nick Anderson	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-10	31	15.8	16.3	-0.58	17.5	13.0	4.48
Horace Grant	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-2	15	15.3	18.3	-2.98	16.0	15.4	0.59
Rony Seikaly	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	16.5	14.1	2.36	16.6	13.1	3.54
Dennis Scott	56	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	16.1	15.8	0.28	15.9	15.8	0.12
Derek Strong	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	3	5	16.5	15.6	0.94	14.3	16.9	-2.52
Gerald Wilkins	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	9	-7	16.1	15.8	0.29	14.6	17.2	-2.65
Brian Shaw	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	18	-25	17.4	15.2	2.22	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Darrell Armstrong	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	15	-19	17.0	15.9	1.11	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Brian Evans	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	10.5	16.1	-5.59	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Amal McCaskill	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	10.5	16.1	-5.59	13.3	15.9	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
IND 90, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%