NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	3.4 [1106]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +12.4%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.1 [1046]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -7.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	13	70%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	58%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
David Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	19	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.03	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Granger	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	13	39%	-0.03	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	18	64%	0.16	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.02	15	68%	0.14	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.04	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	11	32%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	29.9	15.8	28.1	1.6	27.5	132.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.8%

WAS +6.3%

IND -4.6%

WAS +6.8%

WAS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	15.4	94.7	108.4	105.7
season	13.8	16.1		104.5	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.4	15.5	14.2	15.2	14.2
WAS	14.3	18.0	14.6	18.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	17	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	12.8	14.5	-1.71	16.4	16.0	0.42
Travis Diener	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-9	5	15.2	14.0	1.16	15.1	16.3	-1.25
Jamaal Tinsley	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-10	7	14.6	13.9	0.66	15.3	16.8	-1.51
David Harrison	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-5	-3	13.6	14.3	-0.75	16.7	16.0	0.64
Jermaine O'Neal	75	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-13	13	14.8	12.0	2.83	15.9	17.0	-1.13
Marquis Daniels	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-9	5	14.0	14.7	-0.72	17.3	14.2	3.15
Mike Dunleavy	57	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	14.5	13.8	0.74	16.3	15.7	0.63
Shawne Williams	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	13.2	15.2	-1.97	16.4	15.7	0.72
Jeff Foster	68	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	3	-19	14.5	13.7	0.79	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Danny Granger	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	4	-21	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.7	17.8	-2.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	16.2	15.4	0.85	13.7	16.9	-3.25
Antawn Jamison	78	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	1	11	16.3	15.2	1.03	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Gilbert Arenas	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	4	5	15.9	16.8	-0.90	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Brendan Haywood	72	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	7	-1	15.6	17.5	-1.84	14.9	12.4	2.49
Andray Blatche	36	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	2	9	17.2	15.4	1.79	13.4	14.9	-1.44
DeShawn Stevenson	49	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	7	-1	14.9	17.3	-2.37	14.5	13.9	0.63
Darius Songaila	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	16.7	15.6	1.17	14.7	13.9	0.82
Antonio Daniels	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	16.9	15.6	1.32	15.3	13.6	1.70
Roger Mason Jr.	9	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	13.9	16.3	-2.43	15.7	14.1	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SAC 96, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%