NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	3.2 [1106]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +5.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	1.0 [1208]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	21	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	10	64%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Hendrickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	15	74%	0.10	5	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	83%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.04	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	27.2	15.4	23.6	2.5	25.5	120.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +22.1%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +8.9%

CLE +9.7%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	14.1	15.6	101.1	116.7	102.5
season	15.2	15.4		98.5	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.3		97.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	18.1	16.1	15.3	16.0
CLE	13.5	15.3	11.6	16.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-20	24	14.5	16.5	-1.95	17.3	13.3	4.01
Olden Polynice	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-17	18	15.5	16.6	-1.14	15.2	13.0	2.29
Mark Hendrickson	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-10	4	16.0	16.1	-0.05	13.1	14.4	-1.23
Terry Dehere	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-13	10	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.8	13.1	1.68
Michael Smith	49	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	15.4	16.8	-1.39	14.5	13.7	0.82
Michael Stewart	33	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-3	-10	17.4	15.3	2.02	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Billy Owens	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-8	0	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.5	13.4	1.13
Mitch Richmond	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	1	-18	16.2	15.7	0.45	13.4	16.3	-2.94
Corliss Williamson	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-1	-14	16.6	14.6	1.97	12.9	17.2	-4.31
Anthony Johnson	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	2	-20	15.8	16.4	-0.60	13.8	14.4	-0.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-1	18	13.4	18.7	-5.28	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Shawn Kemp	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	5	6	14.5	12.7	1.74	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	14.3	13.6	0.70	15.6	17.2	-1.64
Brevin Knight	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	3	10	14.5	13.0	1.58	15.7	17.2	-1.55
Derek Anderson	44	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	6	4	12.7	15.3	-2.58	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Wesley Person	68	66	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	10	-4	15.0	12.1	2.85	16.3	15.3	1.00
Vitaly Potapenko	25	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	12	-8	12.1	14.8	-2.71	16.8	15.8	1.05
Scott Brooks	15	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	12	-8	14.4	14.1	0.33	17.4	15.8	1.54
Danny Ferry	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	13	-10	14.4	14.0	0.41	17.7	15.6	2.09
Henry James	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	18.6	13.8	4.80	17.6	15.9	1.65
Shawnelle Scott	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.0	14.1	2.91	0.0	16.0	-16.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, CLE 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIN 83, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%