NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	3.9 [1070]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +12.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.1 [1303]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -9.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	17	68%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	20	56%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	11	36%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	19	47%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.06	6	76%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	13	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.13	15	65%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.01	7	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.6	15.6	27.3	1.8	30.3	130.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.9%

GSW +5.7%

GSW +4.1%

GSW +3.1%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	12.3	14.6	14.9	104.7	97.2	105.1
season	13.7	14.4		112.3	100.9
opponent	14.4	15.1		107.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.3	11.7	11.2	14.0	12.3
PHX	15.4	15.4	13.6	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-7	22	12.3	12.2	0.03	15.6	12.8	2.77
Draymond Green	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-8	24	11.6	13.3	-1.69	14.9	14.3	0.53
Stephen Curry	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	11.6	13.5	-1.95	14.7	14.6	0.06
Andrew Bogut	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	-6	20	12.2	12.4	-0.21	16.2	13.3	2.91
Harrison Barnes	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-1	10	12.8	11.3	1.47	15.3	13.6	1.71
Shaun Livingston	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	12.9	12.0	0.93	16.4	13.8	2.63
Brandon Rush	37	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.46	-10	18	-28	12.9	11.9	0.95	12.2	15.8	-3.63
Marreese Speights	35	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	2	4	12.3	12.3	0.02	15.1	14.4	0.67
Andre Iguodala	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	11.7	12.7	-1.01	15.1	14.3	0.81
Jason Thompson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	16	-24	14.7	12.1	2.62	8.6	15.1	-6.51
Kevon Looney	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	14.0	12.2	1.83	8.0	15.0	-7.04
Ian Clark	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	15	-22	14.0	12.1	1.89	9.1	15.2	-6.12
Leandro Barbosa	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	16	-24	12.1	12.4	-0.29	12.7	15.7	-3.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orlando Johnson	60	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-9	10	15.3	13.8	1.45	12.4	12.1	0.24
Mirza Teletovic	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	13.5	15.5	-1.99	12.2	12.3	-0.08
Tyson Chandler	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-5	2	15.1	14.1	1.00	12.8	11.6	1.28
Alex Len	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	0	-8	15.1	14.4	0.68	12.0	12.4	-0.34
Markieff Morris	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.7	14.6	0.05	12.1	12.8	-0.70
Devin Booker	93	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	14.5	15.6	-1.07	12.2	13.1	-0.92
PJ Tucker	103	103	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.4	21.0	-6.60	12.2	14.5	-2.32
Archie Goodwin	63	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.8	14.4	0.36	12.3	12.2	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
WAS 97, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
NOP 123, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%