NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	98		Excitement	3.1 [1193]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +18.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	79		Comeback	1.0 [654]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -8.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.25	0.01	0.07	10	115%	0.19	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Sanders	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	17	62%	0.05	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	15	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.6	25.6	15.0	28.0	1.7	28.0	121.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.5%

POR -1.0%

POR -2.0%

SAS +11.1%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.2	16.7	15.6	115.3	92.9	104.4
season	16.3	16.6		106.0	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		109.8	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.7	17.5	16.0	17.7	17.2
POR	15.0	16.0	18.3	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	1	17	18.3	16.1	2.16	18.4	14.8	3.65
Brent Barry	34	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	1	17	17.1	17.3	-0.16	17.1	16.3	0.80
Rasho Nesterovic	19	18	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	10	-1	15.3	17.8	-2.44	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Tim Duncan	53	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	5	9	16.8	17.9	-1.06	17.1	16.0	1.11
Beno Udrih	35	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	14	-9	16.7	17.6	-0.89	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Tony Parker	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	8	3	17.0	17.7	-0.75	17.0	16.0	0.98
Nazr Mohammed	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.15	13	6	7	18.4	15.9	2.43	17.2	16.0	1.19
Bruce Bowen	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	12	-5	17.4	16.9	0.51	16.5	16.9	-0.43
Michael Finley	43	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	12	-5	17.6	16.8	0.80	15.6	17.7	-2.17
Robert Horry	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	22	-25	17.0	17.3	-0.33	16.1	17.0	-0.83
Melvin Sanders	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.9	17.4	-1.48	12.7	17.1	-4.33
Fabricio Oberto	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.5	17.4	-1.89	10.7	17.2	-6.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	10.7	17.2	-6.49	15.5	17.4	-1.89
Martell Webster	49	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-18	17	15.6	18.1	-2.55	16.2	18.6	-2.48
Juan Dixon	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-17	15	15.3	19.0	-3.72	16.8	17.9	-1.11
Joel Przybilla	53	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-11	3	16.8	16.5	0.27	17.1	17.4	-0.38
Steve Blake	58	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-14	9	16.9	16.2	0.71	16.5	18.6	-2.09
Travis Outlaw	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-6	-7	16.2	16.9	-0.66	18.6	16.6	2.02
Zach Randolph	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-11	3	16.7	16.6	0.18	16.5	18.7	-2.19
Jarrett Jack	26	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-5	-9	17.5	16.3	1.19	19.3	16.2	3.09
Sebastian Telfair	37	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-6	-7	17.5	16.0	1.49	17.2	17.2	0.04
Brian Skinner	22	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-4	-11	19.0	15.8	3.20	18.5	16.7	1.80
Viktor Khryapa	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	-1	-17	18.1	15.6	2.55	18.6	16.2	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 123, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
GSW 112, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 109, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.4%