NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	3.6 [1116]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +15.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	1.0 [283]		LVP	Timofey Mozgov (CLE): -11.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.01	-0.03	24	66%	0.20	5	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.07	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	68%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	19	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Kelly Oubre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	9	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.02	-0.08	20	50%	0.07	9	-0.12	8	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	30.4	15.6	29.0	2.5	32.5	138.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.0%

CLE -0.9%

CLE -13.8%

WAS +20.1%

WAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	14.9	96.0	84.2	105.1
season	13.8	15.8		104.1	110.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.1	13.4	13.7	16.5	13.6
CLE	14.6	17.1	15.7	12.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	86	88	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-8	28	13.8	12.5	1.28	15.3	12.2	3.05
John Wall	86	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-6	24	13.9	11.9	1.99	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Bradley Beal	89	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	0	12	13.5	14.4	-0.90	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Jared Dudley	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	3	6	14.4	12.2	2.13	15.1	14.5	0.53
Marcin Gortat	68	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	13.2	14.5	-1.23	15.0	14.7	0.31
Garrett Temple	58	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	13	-14	14.0	13.1	0.92	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Kris Humphries	23	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	12	-12	11.1	14.4	-3.23	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Kelly Oubre	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	12	-12	13.0	13.6	-0.64	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Ramon Sessions	28	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	18	-24	13.0	13.9	-0.91	15.6	14.6	1.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-18	24	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.6	13.4	1.20
Jared Cunningham	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-12	12	10.7	15.0	-4.35	17.5	13.5	3.95
James Jones	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-12	12	13.6	15.3	-1.77	17.8	12.2	5.58
Tristan Thompson	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-20	28	14.2	15.8	-1.61	13.9	13.2	0.72
Timofey Mozgov	22	21	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	0	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.67	11.1	14.3	-3.19
Matthew Dellavedova	55	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	14.6	15.3	-0.68	14.3	12.7	1.63
Richard Jefferson	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.7	14.4	1.36	12.9	14.0	-1.11
J.R. Smith	76	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	15.1	14.2	0.97	14.2	12.0	2.20
LeBron James	79	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	0	-12	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.2	15.5	-2.34
Mo Williams	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	6	-24	14.8	15.0	-0.14	12.3	15.8	-3.43
Kevin Love	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	12	-36	15.9	12.8	3.17	13.1	14.8	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 99, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAC 110, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%