NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	3.4 [899]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (DET): +7.9%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.0 [928]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -11.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	9	59%	0.08	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.01	0.06	15	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	53%	-0.02	3	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.0	26.2	15.7	23.1	1.8	35.2	132.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.1%

DET -2.2%

CHI +4.4%

CHI +3.5%

DET -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	17.4	15.6	105.3	91.2	102.8
season	16.0	16.3		104.7	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.4	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.8	14.2	15.0	14.2	13.8
DET	18.4	17.1	18.4	15.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-2	20	13.4	14.8	-1.45	17.1	18.5	-1.44
Derrick Rose	78	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	2	12	13.6	14.6	-1.05	17.6	16.4	1.24
Carlos Boozer	55	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	14.3	13.0	1.33	17.4	17.5	-0.15
Richard Hamilton	62	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	2	12	14.1	13.2	0.91	17.2	17.9	-0.75
Kyle Korver	18	18	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	4	8	14.7	13.5	1.13	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Luol Deng	73	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	12	-8	13.8	13.7	0.11	17.9	15.7	2.23
Ronnie Brewer	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	14	-12	13.2	14.1	-0.91	17.9	17.2	0.75
John Lucas III	16	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	14	-12	14.6	13.6	1.05	16.4	17.6	-1.24
Taj Gibson	41	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	18	-20	13.4	14.1	-0.69	17.2	17.6	-0.43
Omer Asik	19	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	14	-12	15.3	13.4	1.96	19.8	16.8	3.09
Brian Scalabrine	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	7.7	14.0	-6.29	12.5	17.6	-5.05
Jimmy Butler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	7.7	14.0	-6.29	12.5	17.6	-5.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-15	14	17.3	17.5	-0.26	13.5	13.9	-0.45
Brandon Knight	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-14	12	18.4	16.7	1.70	13.8	13.8	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-10	4	17.3	17.5	-0.16	12.8	13.9	-1.08
Ben Wallace	23	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-14	12	16.8	17.6	-0.82	15.6	13.1	2.51
Will Bynum	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-9	2	16.2	18.1	-1.94	13.8	13.7	0.04
Rodney Stuckey	28	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	17.5	17.4	0.09	14.8	13.3	1.49
Damien Wilkins	55	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-14	12	17.9	16.7	1.14	13.9	13.5	0.44
Jonas Jerebko	51	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-7	-2	16.8	18.2	-1.45	14.2	13.1	1.05
Greg Monroe	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-2	-12	18.2	15.1	3.09	13.0	15.8	-2.84
Tayshaun Prince	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-2	-12	17.3	17.8	-0.57	14.0	13.3	0.74
Ben Gordon	55	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	1	-18	17.2	17.8	-0.65	12.8	15.4	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%