NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	4.7 [886]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +16.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	1.6 [150]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -16.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	16	74%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	21	27%	-0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	16	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	0.10	27	43%	-0.15	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.8	26.5	16.5	29.2	3.7	34.5	135.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.9%

CHI +20.2%

CLE -4.4%

CLE -2.9%

CLE -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	15.2	14.9	107.9	93.3	105.1
season	14.8	15.8		103.7	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.9		103.7	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.4	17.2	15.6	17.2	17.1
CLE	12.9	14.2	18.7	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-8	29	17.2	17.1	0.06	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Aaron Brooks	22	22	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	19.0	16.5	2.52	15.0	15.3	-0.22
Tony Snell	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	1	11	17.7	16.5	1.13	15.3	15.1	0.22
Doug McDermott	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	8	-3	17.1	17.2	-0.16	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Nikola Mirotic	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	7	-1	17.6	16.7	0.96	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Jimmy Butler	79	80	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	16.5	22.0	-5.47	15.4	13.2	2.22
Taj Gibson	56	54	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	15.9	19.2	-3.28	15.6	14.6	1.06
E'Twaun Moore	6	6	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	6	1	21.7	16.8	4.85	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Derrick Rose	67	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	14	-15	16.5	19.0	-2.52	15.3	15.0	0.22
Bobby Portis	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	17	-21	20.2	16.5	3.67	16.2	15.0	1.19

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-10	7	13.4	15.5	-2.08	19.7	16.8	2.91
Timofey Mozgov	37	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-16	19	16.1	14.6	1.53	17.3	17.0	0.33
Kyrie Irving	59	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-13	13	15.2	15.2	-0.03	16.7	18.0	-1.26
Mo Williams	6	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-6	-1	11.2	15.5	-4.34	19.2	17.0	2.18
LeBron James	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-11	9	15.9	12.0	3.86	16.4	21.2	-4.83
Kevin Love	64	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.54	16.6	18.4	-1.86
J.R. Smith	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	15.1	15.8	-0.75	17.3	16.6	0.64
Iman Shumpert	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	15.0	15.4	-0.40	17.5	16.9	0.63
Matthew Dellavedova	41	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	3	-19	14.7	15.7	-1.03	17.3	17.0	0.30
Tristan Thompson	38	37	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	6	-25	16.1	14.5	1.60	18.2	16.4	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
IND 93, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 91, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%