NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.2 [603]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +7.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	77		Comeback	1.5 [271]		LVP	Walt Williams (POR): -11.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	71%	0.09	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	19	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	11	27%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	17	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	51%	-0.02	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	73%	0.05	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	73%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	23.6	14.8	23.2	1.7	34.2	124.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.2%

POR -4.3%

UTA +19.9%

UTA +13.0%

POR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.5	16.4	15.8	107.1	90.6	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		102.6	102.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		96.2	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	17.7	16.4	19.6	17.5
POR	18.0	15.8	16.3	15.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	3	8	17.2	18.7	-1.59	16.1	17.9	-1.79
Karl Malone	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	6	2	17.2	18.5	-1.34	16.7	15.4	1.31
Greg Ostertag	46	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	1	12	15.9	19.3	-3.37	17.0	15.8	1.19
Howard Eisley	40	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	-1	16	16.9	17.9	-1.01	15.3	17.5	-2.23
Jeff Hornacek	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	6	2	17.1	17.9	-0.79	17.1	15.4	1.69
Shandon Anderson	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	7	0	17.9	17.1	0.79	16.4	16.4	0.04
John Stockton	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	15	-16	17.9	16.9	1.01	17.5	15.3	2.23
Greg Foster	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	7	0	18.1	17.1	0.98	14.9	17.2	-2.34
Adam Keefe	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	9	-4	19.6	16.8	2.81	14.9	16.9	-1.93
Thurl Bailey	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	19.6	16.7	2.88	17.2	16.1	1.03

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	21.4	16.1	5.29	22.0	17.2	4.77
Stacey Augmon	29	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-13	12	16.2	16.5	-0.33	20.2	16.2	4.00
Kelvin Cato	19	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-12	10	16.4	16.4	-0.00	20.8	16.4	4.39
Walt Williams	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-7	0	17.2	15.9	1.37	16.2	18.4	-2.19
Greg Anthony	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.20	-14	0	-14	15.1	16.7	-1.60	16.6	17.7	-1.01
Brian Grant	58	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-4	-6	16.4	16.5	-0.14	17.1	18.1	-0.97
Damon Stoudamire	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-14	14	16.7	15.1	1.60	17.7	16.6	1.01
Arvydas Sabonis	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	16.9	15.6	1.28	16.3	19.3	-3.06
Jim Jackson	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-1	-12	15.6	17.0	-1.39	17.2	17.6	-0.47
Isaiah Rider	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-9	4	16.5	16.2	0.27	17.3	17.8	-0.49
Rasheed Wallace	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	0	-14	15.3	17.5	-2.16	17.0	17.9	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 113, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	95.7%
HOU 123, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 103, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.4%