NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	4.4 [980]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +17.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.8 [978]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -12.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.01	0.03	9	95%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	65%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	13	68%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	16	47%	0.10	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.03	0.09	15	81%	0.17	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	10	46%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Manny Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	17	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.2	14.8	24.2	2.3	30.6	122.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.5%

UTA +2.3%

UTA +14.5%

CLE -0.9%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.7	16.0	15.5	118.8	104.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.1		106.4	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		110.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.1	18.9	16.8	18.0	17.7
CLE	16.4	14.7	18.3	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	59	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-8	27	16.8	19.8	-2.97	16.9	13.9	3.06
Raja Bell	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-5	21	17.2	19.2	-2.05	16.6	14.2	2.37
Deron Williams	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	3	5	17.9	16.7	1.26	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Al Jefferson	68	68	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	12	-13	18.5	14.6	3.82	15.3	18.6	-3.32
Andrei Kirilenko	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	12	-13	18.5	15.9	2.61	16.2	15.5	0.67
CJ Miles	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	7	-3	17.7	17.7	-0.01	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Francisco Elson	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	4	3	15.3	18.4	-3.15	17.1	15.6	1.53
Gordon Hayward	3	4	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	6	-1	18.3	17.7	0.65	16.2	16.0	0.27
Earl Watson	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	10	-9	17.6	17.8	-0.18	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Ronnie Price	8	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	20.4	17.4	2.95	15.7	16.0	-0.36

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	3.0	16.1	-13.14	28.0	17.6	10.42
Samardo Samuels	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	3.0	16.1	-13.14	28.0	17.6	10.42
Jamario Moon	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	13.8	16.4	-2.52	20.2	17.2	2.98
Daniel Gibson	63	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-13	15	15.8	16.6	-0.85	18.2	16.3	1.89
Mo Williams	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-13	15	15.4	18.1	-2.61	18.5	14.6	3.90
Antawn Jamison	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-11	11	15.8	17.3	-1.55	18.3	14.0	4.26
JJ Hickson	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	15.3	16.6	-1.24	17.7	17.7	0.02
Jawad Williams	14	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	2	-15	20.8	15.1	5.73	12.3	18.7	-6.37
Ramon Sessions	31	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	5	-21	16.5	15.7	0.88	16.2	18.5	-2.22
Anderson Varejao	58	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	4	-19	17.0	14.0	3.00	16.8	19.5	-2.70
Anthony Parker	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	16.1	15.6	0.55	17.5	18.4	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CHI 96, CLE 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.0%
NYK 104, CHA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%