NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	105		Excitement	7.7 [316]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +37.2%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.9 [389]		LVP	Norris Cole (NOP): -16.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.00	12	53%	0.28	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.08
Anthony Davis	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.16	-0.00	22	62%	0.34	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.01	14	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	14	62%	0.25	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0	50%	0.00	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	16	47%	-0.03	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.37	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	69%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	81%	0.17	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	58%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	10	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	21	48%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	4	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	24.5	14.8	27.3	2.5	35.4	132.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +29.1%

NOP +3.9%

NOP +30.9%

DAL -17.7%

NOP +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	12.6	15.5	14.9	101.9	96.1	105.1
season	14.3	15.5		104.3	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	11.8	12.3	14.0	12.6
DAL	14.9	17.0	14.3	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	81	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-8	23	12.6	12.7	-0.16	15.2	16.7	-1.47
Norris Cole	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	0	7	13.2	10.7	2.51	15.1	17.0	-1.82
Anthony Davis	91	91	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	0	7	12.8	11.2	1.62	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Ryan Anderson	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	6	-5	13.2	11.7	1.46	15.7	15.2	0.46
Jrue Holiday	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	12.6	12.5	0.08	15.7	15.2	0.49
Omer Asik	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-1	9	11.5	13.4	-1.84	15.9	15.3	0.61
Alonzo Gee	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	12.1	13.2	-1.15	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Kendrick Perkins	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	13.1	12.6	0.56	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Toney Douglas	29	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	11	-15	11.7	13.0	-1.27	17.0	14.9	2.05

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	15	15	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-7	7	13.1	15.9	-2.86	11.9	12.7	-0.78
JaVale McGee	28	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-13	19	16.1	15.3	0.77	12.1	12.8	-0.74
Dwight Powell	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.5	15.7	-1.21	12.7	12.6	0.17
Jose Juan Barea	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	15.2	15.9	-0.62	12.7	12.4	0.34
Chandler Parsons	71	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.1	16.5	-1.40	13.0	11.6	1.37
Wesley Matthews	77	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-9	11	15.4	16.0	-0.65	12.5	12.9	-0.37
Deron Williams	43	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	4	-15	16.0	15.2	0.77	12.4	12.8	-0.42
Dirk Nowitzki	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	0	-7	16.2	14.2	2.01	12.5	12.7	-0.18
Raymond Felton	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	5	-17	16.2	14.6	1.55	12.2	13.0	-0.81
Zaza Pachulia	73	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.4	15.7	-0.25	13.0	11.7	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.08,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.31,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.09,0	91.8%
PHX 110, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%
NOH 96, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	91.4%