inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 101 Excitement7.7 [310] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +28.4%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback2.4 [479] LVPTrevor Ariza (HOU): -47.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.280,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.280.160.130.011874%0.373-0.09683%0.01
Patrick Beverley0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.09-0.050.150.01935%0.111-0.022100%0.10
Clint Capela0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.00583%0.081-0.0220%-0.02
Terrence Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.02662%0.0300.001100%0.00
Ty Lawson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.02,0.020.07-0.040.01679%0.151-0.132100%0.01
Marcus Thornton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.020.01-0.01-0.02844%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.011055%0.083-0.0820%-0.02
Corey Brewer-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.480,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.48-0.08-0.390.011429%-0.4800.0000%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.240.240.080.16-0.011168%0.342-0.103100%0.02
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.20.200.130.120.051086%0.252-0.052100%0.03
Channing Frye0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.010.024125%0.1100.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.001158%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.080.021662%0.071-0.09250%-0.01
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.011146%0.073-0.11450%-0.02
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.01837%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.0390%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.422.615.322.32.435.5126.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +66.9%
HOU -22.0%
ORL +21.9%
HOU -12.6%
HOU -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUORLNBAHOUORLNBA
this game14.616.414.9107.4113.0105.1
season14.014.6105.9103.6
opponent14.915.1105.2106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.115.315.014.114.6
ORL16.615.416.916.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Jones23230.09-0.590.69-0.117-101714.014.8-0.7916.016.5-0.52
Corey Brewer2726-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-3312.815.3-2.5514.917.0-2.05
Ty Lawson5553-0.11-0.390.27-0.4110-132313.815.7-1.8715.817.2-1.41
Donatas Motiejunas1616-0.18-0.320.140.05-85-1314.314.7-0.3415.416.6-1.15
Marcus Thornton3836-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-30-313.215.5-2.3316.716.20.59
Clint Capela3736-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-74-1115.813.81.9115.916.7-0.87
James Harden7875-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.423-6914.813.51.3216.715.21.42
Trevor Ariza7272-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.37-41-515.013.21.8516.914.52.35
Patrick Beverley5454-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.32-63-915.912.92.9517.115.41.70
Dwight Howard7069-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.29-74-1114.614.50.1816.516.10.35

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Vucevic65640.70-0.200.890.4010-71716.815.51.2415.612.53.08
Victor Oladipo63650.58-0.080.670.416-3915.219.0-3.7613.916.2-2.33
Evan Fournier65670.56-0.060.610.415-2716.715.70.9715.013.51.51
Tobias Harris68680.52-0.020.550.4430316.615.70.8715.013.61.41
Channing Frye34330.340.160.180.0111-81917.415.81.6216.413.62.77
Elfrid Payton60610.220.28-0.070.45-811-1916.715.80.8914.814.20.68
Aaron Gordon2426-0.020.52-0.55-0.0203-315.716.6-0.8713.615.0-1.41
Andrew Nicholson1819-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-14-514.816.8-1.9412.715.1-2.33
Mario Hezonja3133-0.060.56-0.63-0.0603-317.216.01.1614.014.9-0.96
Jason Smith3234-0.300.80-1.090.03-1114-2515.916.7-0.7912.715.6-2.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.58,190.9%
BOS 105, NOP 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.58,190.5%
SAS 99, POR 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,190.1%