NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	10.7 [44]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +32.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	106		Comeback	4.0 [250]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): -23.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.33	0.10	0.23	0.00	29	54%	0.35	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.08
Amir Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.16	0.04	-0.20	-0.00	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	0.02	-0.19	0.01	17	53%	-0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.16	-0.02	8	28%	-0.10	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17	0.17	-0.03	0.20	0.00	5	56%	0.26	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.05
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	14	70%	0.27	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	57%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	22	44%	0.04	7	-0.19	13	85%	0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.5	15.4	26.7	1.8	48.2	144.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -18.7%

NOP +66.2%

BOS -21.1%

NOP +6.6%

NOP +17.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOP	NBA	BOS	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	13.3	14.8	101.9	101.0	107.7
season	14.7	14.1		110.1	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	15.3	13.0	14.5	14.4
NOP	15.1	12.5	13.1	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	41	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.35	13.2	13.4	-0.16
James Young	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	16.9	14.0	2.83	11.6	13.6	-1.99
Kelly Olynyk	75	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.37	10	-11	21	14.6	13.9	0.66	13.5	12.7	0.88
Jaylen Brown	38	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	1	-3	12.8	15.3	-2.48	13.3	13.3	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	78	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.46	13	-14	27	14.1	15.3	-1.20	13.7	12.1	1.57
Jordan Mickey	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	4	-9	13.8	14.6	-0.75	14.2	13.1	1.12
Tyler Zeller	11	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	4	-9	16.4	14.2	2.19	11.5	13.5	-2.06
Amir Johnson	56	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	1	-3	14.6	14.2	0.44	13.2	13.4	-0.17
Avery Bradley	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-3	5	15.0	13.0	1.97	13.6	12.5	1.10
Terry Rozier	30	28	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	8	-17	14.2	14.5	-0.34	12.6	13.6	-0.99
Marcus Smart	80	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.50	-3	2	-5	14.2	15.0	-0.71	13.1	14.1	-1.01

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	72	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-6	13	12.5	15.1	-2.66	14.5	14.2	0.38
Anthony Davis	85	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	1	-1	13.5	12.5	0.92	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Terrence Jones	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	-4	9	12.9	14.0	-1.12	14.7	13.9	0.85
Langston Galloway	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	-1	3	12.5	15.0	-2.48	14.5	14.2	0.30
Archie Goodwin	32	31	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	-5	11	13.2	13.3	-0.11	15.5	13.9	1.63
Alexis Ajinca	14	14	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	-2	5	11.6	13.6	-1.99	16.9	14.0	2.83
Tim Frazier	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	5	-9	13.3	13.3	-0.04	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Buddy Hield	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	4	-7	14.5	12.3	2.16	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Omer Asik	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.20	-2	3	-5	14.9	12.8	2.11	14.7	14.3	0.33
Dante Cunningham	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	10	-19	14.5	12.2	2.30	13.8	15.0	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.73,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.54,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	92.5%
CLE 94, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,1	92.4%
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	91.5%