NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	4.6 [901]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +9.1%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	1.0 [657]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -12.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	10	77%	0.15	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
RJ Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	5	-0.09	10	90%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	20	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	11	43%	0.01	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	12	36%	-0.04	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	35.0	15.5	23.6	2.4	30.2	134.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.6%

BOS +2.5%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +10.8%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.9	104.1	89.0	105.1
season	13.9	15.1		104.5	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	14.2	15.6	15.9	14.6
CHA	14.2	13.5	15.7	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	63	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	13.8	16.0	-2.17	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Avery Bradley	73	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-1	15	14.2	15.7	-1.50	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Isaiah Thomas	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-2	17	13.9	16.4	-2.49	14.6	14.1	0.47
Jae Crowder	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	0	13	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.2	15.4	-1.12
Jared Sullinger	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-3	19	14.3	14.9	-0.66	14.6	14.4	0.26
Evan Turner	43	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	14	-15	15.5	13.9	1.54	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Tyler Zeller	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	12	-11	14.3	14.7	-0.33	13.8	14.7	-0.86
David Lee	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	15	-17	15.3	14.2	1.07	14.6	14.4	0.12
RJ Hunter	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	17	-21	16.0	13.8	2.17	14.8	14.3	0.48
Jonas Jerebko	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	17	-21	17.2	14.0	3.21	16.6	14.0	2.59

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	16	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-20	27	15.8	14.2	1.57	16.6	14.3	2.30
Spencer Hawes	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-9	5	14.5	14.5	-0.04	17.6	14.2	3.42
Jeremy Lin	66	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.21	3	-16	19	13.9	15.6	-1.66	14.8	14.2	0.68
Jeremy Lamb	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-17	21	14.3	14.6	-0.32	15.9	13.8	2.07
Frank Kaminsky	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-13	13	14.1	15.2	-1.11	15.1	13.8	1.30
Marvin Williams	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	0	-13	15.2	14.1	1.11	13.8	15.1	-1.30
PJ Hairston	27	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	5	-23	15.8	14.0	1.81	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Nicolas Batum	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	0	-13	14.7	13.4	1.28	14.2	16.3	-2.05
Cody Zeller	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	3	-19	14.2	15.3	-1.05	13.8	17.0	-3.27
Kemba Walker	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	2	-17	14.4	15.2	-0.85	14.5	15.4	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0	95.7%
MIA 110, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.6%
UTA 104, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.5%