NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +12.9%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.1 [650]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -19.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	11	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	14	47%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	85%	0.10	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	15	50%	0.05	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	61%	0.11	2	-0.02	13	85%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.08	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.22	-0.01	-0.03	18	22%	-0.13	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	31.5	15.3	30.6	2.5	41.3	151.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.2%

IND -11.0%

UTA +18.9%

IND -5.4%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	12.9	15.4	108.3	96.9	104.5
season	15.9	15.3		107.4	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	16.8	16.0	18.3	17.0
IND	12.6	13.7	14.0	11.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	61	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-10	30	15.8	19.2	-3.42	13.6	11.5	2.11
Carlos Boozer	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	-3	16	16.0	20.7	-4.69	13.0	12.6	0.39
Derek Fisher	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	16.5	17.9	-1.41	13.1	12.5	0.59
Mehmet Okur	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	3	4	16.0	20.4	-4.36	13.5	11.0	2.48
Deron Williams	52	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	4	2	15.5	18.7	-3.23	14.4	10.9	3.50
Dee Brown	44	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	18.7	15.5	3.23	10.9	14.4	-3.50
Paul Millsap	28	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	11	-12	19.6	15.9	3.73	13.1	12.7	0.39
Matt Harpring	43	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	17	-24	19.1	15.3	3.83	11.3	14.2	-2.87
Jarron Collins	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	10	-10	21.4	16.1	5.36	10.9	13.3	-2.36
Gordan Giricek	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	17.7	16.7	1.00	12.2	13.1	-0.93

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	14	16	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.15	12	-22	34	11.2	13.1	-1.93	17.1	17.0	0.15
Orien Greene	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	6.0	12.9	-6.94	5.0	17.1	-12.13
Darrell Armstrong	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	11.3	14.5	-3.19	18.2	15.7	2.55
Josh Powell	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-3	-4	9.3	13.1	-3.86	17.3	17.0	0.31
Danny Granger	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	12.1	14.3	-2.15	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Jeff Foster	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	15.1	11.7	3.42	18.0	16.5	1.48
Stephen Jackson	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-10	10	13.5	9.7	3.73	17.0	16.9	0.15
Sarunas Jasikevicius	45	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	5	-20	11.7	13.9	-2.15	18.0	16.2	1.86
Al Harrington	48	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	6	-22	13.8	12.0	1.79	16.3	17.7	-1.46
Jermaine O'Neal	82	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	13.3	10.4	2.92	16.5	19.9	-3.38
Jamaal Tinsley	61	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	3	-16	13.3	12.1	1.16	16.1	18.4	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 102, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.01,0,0	95.5%