NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	3.9 [997]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +7.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Comeback	1.0 [670]		LVP	Cedric Henderson (CLE): -15.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	85%	0.13	4	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	20	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	16	63%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.03	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	-0.01	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	16	36%	-0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.3	25.6	15.3	25.6	1.7	30.2	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.0%

MIL +6.1%

CLE -1.3%

MIL +15.5%

CLE -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	15.5	110.3	92.7	100.9
season	14.9	15.3		105.9	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	15.2	15.6	17.2	15.8
CLE	15.6	13.0	15.7	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-4	26	15.4	16.8	-1.38	15.0	10.9	4.15
Glenn Robinson	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	-5	28	14.8	17.7	-2.89	15.1	11.8	3.28
Sam Cassell	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	7	4	15.4	16.3	-0.85	15.0	12.5	2.53
Mark Pope	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	12	-6	13.8	16.7	-2.89	17.2	12.6	4.62
Ervin Johnson	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	11	-4	17.0	14.7	2.29	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Jason Caffey	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	12	-6	14.4	16.8	-2.39	16.4	12.2	4.23
Tim Thomas	52	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	10	-2	17.1	14.2	2.89	12.0	16.4	-4.36
Lindsey Hunter	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	9	0	15.9	15.6	0.29	11.7	16.8	-5.13
Scott Williams	46	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	15	-12	16.5	15.1	1.47	12.6	15.4	-2.84
Rafer Alston	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.9	15.3	5.56	11.3	14.2	-2.91
Joel Przybilla	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	18.2	15.6	2.55	9.8	14.3	-4.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	35	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.28	11	-29	40	11.7	15.4	-3.79	16.7	15.2	1.50
Brevin Knight	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-24	30	13.4	14.4	-0.96	18.5	14.2	4.33
J.R. Reid	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-13	8	12.6	14.7	-2.16	17.1	15.2	1.95
Trajan Langdon	71	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-15	12	13.5	15.8	-2.30	16.7	13.2	3.47
Lamond Murray	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-3	-12	14.4	13.6	0.84	16.0	15.4	0.61
Andre Miller	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	1	-20	14.1	13.9	0.29	14.3	19.1	-4.82
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	4	-26	15.5	11.2	4.36	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Chris Mihm	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	0	-18	14.8	12.6	2.17	15.3	16.6	-1.35
Cedric Henderson	59	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.27	-25	7	-32	14.5	13.4	1.16	14.6	17.8	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 107, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 99, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 96, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%