inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement8.6 [196] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +38.9%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback6.0 [134] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -39.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.390,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.22,0.22,0.390.010.36-0.021350%0.401-0.022100%0.02
Steve Blake0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.120.080.025120%0.211-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.010.02590%0.0600.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.00-0.06743%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.050.021070%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01312%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.150,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.150.01-0.120.041656%-0.083-0.0700%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.09-0.02744%-0.065-0.13450%-0.03
Andre Drummond-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22-0.06-0.110.051237%-0.181-0.04650%-0.09

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.110.110.020.100.011357%0.192-0.072100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.011164%0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01440%0.0500.002100%0.02
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.020.02667%0.0100.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01845%-0.021-0.01475%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.14-0.140.01-0.17-0.022148%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.4-0.40-0.03-0.39-0.012141%-0.4000.00475%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.525.215.623.41.832.1122.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +89.0%
MIA -22.3%
DET +6.7%
MIA -27.6%
DET +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game17.415.714.9106.9105.7105.1
season15.015.5104.9104.5
opponent15.115.1103.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.817.618.117.417.4
MIA13.217.616.216.115.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope72720.78-0.281.050.4810-91917.417.40.0416.312.83.46
Anthony Tolliver41420.73-0.230.970.0922-214317.917.00.9316.814.62.16
Reggie Jackson57560.73-0.230.950.643-2517.018.3-1.3715.615.8-0.27
Andre Drummond62620.61-0.110.720.552-1317.417.4-0.0015.915.20.71
Marcus Morris61620.450.050.410.69-89-1716.719.1-2.3414.917.5-2.60
Stanley Johnson4240-0.040.54-0.58-0.0401-118.016.91.1315.715.60.15
Aron Baynes2525-0.110.61-0.72-0.08-12-317.417.40.0015.215.9-0.71
Steve Blake3031-0.230.73-0.95-0.17-23-518.317.01.3715.815.60.27
Ersan Ilyasova4545-0.430.93-1.350.19-2122-4317.417.5-0.1214.616.8-2.16

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow46460.20-0.700.910.171-2315.715.7-0.0317.417.5-0.14
Chris Bosh6060-0.03-0.470.44-0.278-91715.216.7-1.5618.714.64.12
Josh Richardson2323-0.17-0.330.170.21-1312-2517.715.02.7019.316.72.60
Udonis Haslem1112-0.19-0.310.130.17-1211-2318.215.32.8818.117.30.75
Beno Udrih6464-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.6812-132515.017.7-2.7016.719.3-2.60
Luol Deng6362-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.679-101915.117.1-1.9616.619.4-2.81
Gerald Green5152-0.530.03-0.57-0.33-76-1315.715.60.0517.816.90.92
Hassan Whiteside6464-0.630.13-0.76-0.630-1116.114.41.6717.218.2-1.06
Dwyane Wade5453-0.740.24-0.99-0.66-32-515.515.9-0.3916.518.9-2.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 89, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.22,0.59,090.0%
MIN 98, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.45,0.58,090.0%
WAS 87, NYK 860.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.42,089.8%