NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	9.9 [81]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +46.8%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	10.0 [90]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -33.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.43,0.31,0.47	0.06	0.40	-0.01	18	60%	0.63	4	-0.16	7	86%	0.09
Antonio Daniels	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.23	-0.03	0.26	-0.00	9	40%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.07	0.01	12	75%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Donell Taylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	21	40%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Caron Butler	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.33	-0.19	-0.16	-0.01	12	16%	-0.21	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.23	2	-0.16	5	60%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	18	51%	0.03	2	-0.08	13	38%	-0.38
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	12	54%	-0.02	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.0	27.4	15.6	23.2	2.3	44.3	137.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -72.4%

WAS +100.5%

WAS +15.7%

WAS +3.5%

WAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.6	100.0	96.7	104.4
season	15.1	14.8		107.4	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		104.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.1	14.2	15.8	16.0	16.0
BOS	16.2	16.4	16.2	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	77	78	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-4	10	16.2	14.5	1.71	15.8	18.8	-3.04
Antonio Daniels	51	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	16.1	15.8	0.28	16.2	16.2	0.03
Caron Butler	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.44	3	-1	4	15.7	18.2	-2.50	16.4	14.7	1.69
Antawn Jamison	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	1	0	16.0	15.1	0.91	15.9	20.3	-4.43
Brendan Haywood	66	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	2	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.20	15.5	18.5	-3.04
Jared Jeffries	52	54	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	7	-12	15.9	16.1	-0.18	16.8	15.3	1.49
Michael Ruffin	18	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.10	3	-1	4	16.6	15.8	0.72	17.4	15.9	1.51
Andray Blatche	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	22.2	15.6	6.59	16.4	16.2	0.21
Donell Taylor	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	4	-6	14.1	16.3	-2.26	19.2	15.6	3.57

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	31	32	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-4	6	17.5	15.5	2.01	17.1	15.4	1.69
Kendrick Perkins	46	46	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-7	12	15.7	16.7	-1.08	16.1	15.8	0.32
Al Jefferson	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	16.2	16.2	0.01	17.2	15.3	1.89
Orien Greene	21	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	2	-6	17.1	15.9	1.17	18.0	15.3	2.73
Tony Allen	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	7	-16	16.7	16.0	0.75	14.3	16.7	-2.30
Mark Blount	18	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	1	-4	17.1	16.0	1.14	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-3	4	16.1	16.6	-0.55	17.2	10.6	6.60
Paul Pierce	81	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-6	10	16.1	16.9	-0.77	15.4	20.4	-4.98
Delonte West	73	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-3	4	15.9	17.6	-1.71	15.5	17.6	-2.10
Raef LaFrentz	52	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	5	-12	15.7	16.9	-1.29	14.3	17.9	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.22,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.42,0	90.5%
LAL 111, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,0	90.0%
DET 93, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.58,0	90.0%