NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	8.5 [171]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): +12.5%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	18.9 [36]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -53.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.1,0.06	-0.06	0.11	-0.02	22	51%	0.17	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Chris Whitney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.00	8	46%	-0.00	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.07
Tyrone Nesby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.10	-0.05	13	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Popeye Jones	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	5	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.01	6	100%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.08
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	54%	-0.00	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	9	67%	0.05	4	-0.18	6	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	0.02	-0.32	-0.00	13	62%	0.01	3	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.15,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.53	-0.53	-0.27	-0.27	-0.01	16	19%	-0.27	6	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	496.6	2.0	28.0	16.5	25.4	1.8	37.0	607.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -11.3%

WAS +17.1%

NYK -20.4%

WAS +65.6%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	15.2	15.6	98.9	95.6	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		102.2	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.3		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	19.4	18.5	14.3	17.2
NYK	16.1	18.5	13.6	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	74	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.67	1	0	1	16.9	19.1	-2.22	14.7	17.5	-2.75
Michael Jordan	67	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-5	11	16.3	20.0	-3.61	16.2	12.3	3.88
Tyronn Lue	55	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-5	11	17.6	16.5	1.05	14.8	15.8	-1.06
Popeye Jones	41	42	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-10	21	14.1	19.9	-5.77	15.2	15.2	0.02
Brendan Haywood	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	18.2	15.1	3.08	15.2	15.1	0.11
Chris Whitney	34	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	5	-9	16.1	17.9	-1.87	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Kwame Brown	4	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	5	-9	21.5	17.0	4.50	9.0	15.4	-6.39
Etan Thomas	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	-2	5	18.6	16.3	2.36	16.2	14.5	1.67
Jahidi White	35	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	10	-19	17.7	16.9	0.85	15.8	14.7	1.09
Tyrone Nesby	35	38	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.23	-5	6	-11	19.6	15.6	3.98	14.2	15.9	-1.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	27	27	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.23	0	-1	1	15.2	15.2	0.01	18.3	16.7	1.57
Othella Harrington	37	37	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.25	-4	3	-7	14.8	15.4	-0.58	18.3	16.4	1.89
Shandon Anderson	39	37	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-1	1	13.4	16.6	-3.21	19.1	15.8	3.24
Travis Knight	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	3	-7	18.2	15.0	3.20	14.8	17.4	-2.54
Kurt Thomas	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.58	7	-8	15	15.7	14.1	1.65	16.5	18.7	-2.16
Marcus Camby	76	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-4	7	15.1	15.9	-0.80	17.4	16.2	1.21
Latrell Sprewell	85	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-1	1	15.2	15.4	-0.24	17.3	14.8	2.55
Mark Jackson	64	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.67	-1	0	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.83	16.7	18.3	-1.57
Allan Houston	57	56	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.65	-6	5	-11	16.2	13.4	2.77	15.7	19.7	-4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.57,0.17,0	91.4%
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	90.5%
WAS 89, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.22,0.59,0	90.5%